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Roy’s Rolling 22 and Trade Talk: Rd 22

Roy updates his rolling 22 for the Preliminary Finals and has a look at a few trade options you might like to consider. As always, discuss your trade ideas in the comments section.

  • Roy

Rolling 22

Defenders

Elliot Yeo
Lachie Whitfield
Gus Brayshaw
Rory Laird
Jake Lloyd
Alex Witherden IN

Kade Simpson OUT

Who to bring in? Alex Witherden (DEF, $654,000) has jumped into the rolling 22 for the Preliminary Finals after an impressive performance where he completely controlled the back line with 30 possessions and 11 marks for 123 against the Pies. He is every chance of being unique this week, owned by just seven percent of coaches and he has a dream match up against the lowly Suns who give up plenty of points. Witherden got off to a slow start this year, scoring just one ton up to round 11 and there are no prizes as to who it was against… The Suns with 123.

Midfielders

Tom Mitchell
Jack Macrae
Patrick Cripps
Gary Ablett IN
Zach Merrett
Matt Crouch
Clayton Oliver
Seb Ross IN

Josh Kelly, Stephen Coniglio OUT


Who to bring in? Seb Ross (MID, $734,000) was last week recommended player to bring in and if you did it then well done, you saved yourself $45K and scored a nice little 143 to go with it. He maintained his hot form to be second only behind the Pig on form with an average of 136 over his last three (remembering that included a massive 160 two weeks ago). Although he played the Hawks earlier this year for a disappointing score, that was in Tassie and I’m chasing his Etihad form where he has scored 143, 160, and 121 in his last three there. His ownership jumped by 1% last week, all the way to 2%, so he is still a great unique option.

Who to bring in? Gary Ablett (MID, $698,000) was feared to rest within the last two weeks but the Cats have played themselves into a position where that is looking less and less likely to happen. What better name could you bring in for a Prelim that Gaz, who is in ripping form with a five round average of 116 and a three round average of 120 coming off another huge game against the Hawks where he scored 152. In fact, in his last ten games he has scored under 110 on just three occasions and has an awesome draw to finish the year with two must win games at Simonds against the Dockers and the Suns who are giving up the fourth and first most points to midfielders since the byes.


Click here to subscribe on iTunes. (Plenty of Rolling 22 chat on the podcast).

Rucks

Brodie Grundy
Max Gawn

Forwards

Patrick Dangerfield
Sam Menegola
Josh Dunkley
Devon Smith
David Mundy IN
Mitch Robinson IN

Chad Wingard, Justin Westhoff OUT

Who to bring in? David Mundy (FWD/MID, $634,000) isn’t an exciting pick, but he is certainly getting it done now that he is getting a consistent run through the middle for the Dockers. He is averaging 113 in his last three rounds and has four hundreds in his last five games after reaching triple figures on only two occasions prior to that, reflective of a significant role change. No doubt it is a tough match up with the Cats, but prior to last year where he was playing forward, his numbers against them are very impressive with six scores out of seven being triple figures which included a 151 in Geelong.

Downgrade target:

Lewis Pierce (RUC, $202,000) hasn’t played at the top level for a long time, hence his basement starting price but the Saint ruck certainly put his best foot forward to earn the number one mantle next year. He shared the ruck duties and had 27 hit outs to go with 18 touches, five marks and two tackles for a very solid score of 85.

My Trades:

Battle to a Frampton

Shuey to Ablett

Follow me on Twitter: @RoyDT

33 Comments

33 Comments

  1. Mad Fish

    August 14, 2018 at 7:27 am

    Which mid should I bring in for Phillips?

    Cogs
    Zorko
    Duncan
    Selwood
    Hunter
    Heppell
    Adams

    My other trade is Parker to Beams.

    • AF Rising Star

      August 14, 2018 at 8:31 am

      Duncan prehaps

    • Stalliondongs

      August 14, 2018 at 12:06 pm

      Adams

    • Dane

      August 14, 2018 at 1:05 pm

      Hunter! Good run home and never cops a tag

  2. Jaxon

    August 14, 2018 at 7:43 am

    Gibbs to Cripps, Simmo to Witherden or Rocky to Menegola?

    • AF Rising Star

      August 14, 2018 at 8:30 am

      Rocky to Menegola

  3. midgetgotgame

    August 14, 2018 at 7:47 am

    Gibbs or Shuey??

  4. Daniel Kotronis

    August 14, 2018 at 9:09 am

    Could Hawkins be brought in just for his easy run?

    • Rohan

      August 14, 2018 at 11:32 am

      Not this week considering a matchup with Pearce is looking likely. Next week vs Gold Coast he is high on my target list and potential captain after what Riewoldt did.

    • Dulcify

      August 14, 2018 at 9:05 pm

      @ Daniel, I noticed you have joined our EPL League, thanks and good luck.

  5. Rohan

    August 14, 2018 at 11:31 am

    Would one kind soul care to tell me how to work out breakevens? I am aware there are sites to access it on, but I would like to know how it’s done. Cheers

    • The Cricket

      August 14, 2018 at 2:26 pm

      Don’t know the precise formula for determining BE’s week to week. But I do know that at the start of the season a player’s BE equates to his average score from the previous season. (There are adjustments made for special circumstances eg where someone hasn’t played for an extended period due to injury, like NicNat this year)

      • The Cricket

        August 14, 2018 at 2:28 pm

        So the setting of BE’s is to do with a player’s price reflecting his performance as the season progresses.

        • Rohan

          August 14, 2018 at 10:33 pm

          ive done some research and it goes something like this:
          ((price / magic number)*3)-last 2 scores = breakeven
          This is supposedly true because the magic number determines a players price avg, but my calculations (assuming MN = 6529: http://fantasysports.win/magic-number.html) have always been off by a significant amount so led to believe that’s wrong. The formula basically says “this is your priced average, take away last 2 scores, this is the score you need to maintain that average hence price”…

  6. Smile

    August 14, 2018 at 12:15 pm

    dusty to Gaz
    or
    Gawn (looked sore) to grundy?

  7. spud

    August 14, 2018 at 1:59 pm

    is hipwood or big o an option after jack kicked ten against the sun last week

  8. Sam

    August 14, 2018 at 3:12 pm

    Rocky/Wingard to Menegola/Smith
    Or
    Dusty to Cripps?

  9. Davo

    August 14, 2018 at 3:54 pm

    Would appreciate some help on this one. Which will net me the most points this week?

    1 Simpson to Witherden
    2 Dusty to Macrae
    3 Wines to Macrae

    • Davo

      August 14, 2018 at 3:56 pm

      4 Rocky to Menegola

  10. Ben

    August 14, 2018 at 4:14 pm

    Simmo to Witho and Hoff to Robbo
    OR
    Sier to Rookie (bench) and Neale (Cats) to Cripps or M Crouch

    GF this week..

  11. Paul

    August 14, 2018 at 5:00 pm

    Who to bring in for Phillips?
    Ablett
    Beams
    Zorko
    Selwood

  12. versus not verse

    August 14, 2018 at 6:08 pm

    When will Roy stop sounding like a 14 year old and stop saying verse? The podcast loses credibility each week because of that.

    • Mickey

      August 15, 2018 at 3:20 pm

      Mate if that is all you you have to moan about your life is going well.

  13. Adam

    August 16, 2018 at 11:17 am

    Lost Gaff. now Kelly gone… Thinking forced change Kelly > Ablett

    That leaves me with The following dilemma .. Ahern upgrade to >

    M.Robinson
    Dusty
    Bontempelli
    Or Anyone else under $609k

    • PowerAde

      August 16, 2018 at 12:37 pm

      is Kelly gone? I haven’t seen anything confirming he will miss, I know it is likely but would love a link to confirm?

      • Adam

        August 16, 2018 at 2:27 pm

        Not confirmed, just preparing for the worst.

      • Brendan

        August 16, 2018 at 2:44 pm

        i know on Tuesday Leon Cameron said he was a ’60/40′ chance of not playing. he said “he pulled up better then expected but with such a brutal game against the swans they wouldn’t pick him going into the run home as there is way more to lose then gain if he isn’t right”. Waiting anxiously…

      • The Cricket

        August 16, 2018 at 6:03 pm

        I’m trading him regardless of whether he’s picked or not.
        1. Could be a late out
        2. Up against the Swans – possible tag and they’re a tough team to score against
        3. Players often don’t score highly after concussion

        My prelim oppo has him too so it’ll be interesting to see how it pans out :)

  14. brendan

    August 16, 2018 at 2:41 pm

    if Kelly isnt named will use that trade to go Kelly to crouch

    only have my f6 and m8 to finalize..

    should i go rocky(f6) to menegola or parker (m8) to cripps?
    opponent has rocky and cripps.. if that helps

  15. Matt

    August 16, 2018 at 3:52 pm

    Giro to Switkowski (on bench)

    Venables to Tom McDonald good trades?

    Playing in a Prelim

  16. Jay

    August 16, 2018 at 7:40 pm

    So I’m going stef to Grundy and Neale to someone below 633k who would be the best target? Cheers

  17. Brad

    August 17, 2018 at 10:44 am

    Ahern to Mundy or Lienart to Witherden?

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