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Roy’s Trade Talk: Rd 17

Roy has a closer look at his world famous Rolling 22 and identifies a player in each line that is worth bringing in this week. As always, discuss your trade ideas in the comments!

  • Roy

Heading toward Finals, we want the blokes in the rolling 22. I will have a look at one from each line to consider this week.

Rolling 22

Defenders:

Rory Laird
Elliot Yeo
Jack Crisp OUT Gus Brayshaw IN
Lachie Whitfield
Jake Lloyd
Kade Simpson

Who to bring in? Angus Brayshaw (DEF/MID, $677,000) is still found in less than a quarter of teams, so there is a fair chance he will be a unique in your league match ups… Well at least three a month haha, and you need to take advantage of that. The fact he is available in defence, despite his ball winning role through the middle places him in the must have category. He has a BE of 101, so his price will be steady for a couple of weeks although his three game average of 111 suggests there is still some growth, especially considering his match up with the Dogs this week who he scored 133 on in round 11. He has one bad score in nine weeks (one of which was a random tag experiment) and his only other score under 100 in that time was an 80 back in round eight.

Midfielders:

Tom Mitchell
Stephen Coniglio OUT Joel Selwood IN
Andrew Gaff
Matt Crouch
Dayne Zorko
Josh Kelly
Steele Sidebottom
Ablett OUT Dayne Beams IN

Who to bring in? Dayne Beams (MID, $706,000) is a great unique to own in the run toward finals. He is currently owned by only 5% of teams despite his thumping three game average of 119. His numbers have been ridiculous since round eight, with two poor games of 50 and 69 but every other outing has been full on Beamer beast mode, rivalling anyone else in the competition. Discounting those two games, he has not dropped under 112 in that time and has surpassed 120 on four occasions with a top of 137. He loves playing at the Gabba and has three games remaining there including a nice match up with the Eagles for the Fantasy GF.

Ruck:

Max Gawn
Brodie Grundy

Who to bring in? Good luck finding the cash, but a trade to Brodie Grundy (RUC, $806,000) has to happen at some stage, basically for any ruckman other than Max Gawn. His numbers are ridiculous, averaging 121 for the season and 125 in his last three and he hasn’t dropped under triple figures since round one… Can you believe that? What a reliable legend. His number reek of a Pig, but I’m not sure we have a snout to fit him. He has three scores under 110 for the year, what more can I say apart from oink.

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Forward:

Isaac Heeney
Toby Mclean
Justin Westhoff
Devon Smith
Sam Menegola
Ed Langdon OUT Sic Dawg

Luke Breust is currently being disrespected but you couldn’t do it.

Who to bring in? The Sic Dawg, James Sicily (DEF/FWD, $636,000) finally finds himself a spot in the rolling 22, albeit as a forward. The Hawk defender has become a mark of consistency (yes, I know) while increasing by 113K to this point in the season. He is averaging 100 for his 28% of coaches over the last five weeks and he hasn’t gone under 90 in that time. In a promising sign, he hasn’t missed a game since round six and is in nice form coming off his second highest score for the year with 118. He has a nice stretch of games in the coming weeks with the Lions in Tassie, followed by the Blues and Dockers. His break even of 83 suggests he won’t be this cheap for long.

Ironically, my trades don’t include a rolling 22 player but are as follows:

McInerney and Fritta OUT
Abbot and Pendles IN

@RoyDT

56 Comments

56 Comments

  1. Alan J

    July 10, 2018 at 7:18 am

    Cheers Roy!! Only running with 13 of the 22 at this point, but do have Oliver, Zerret, Rocky and Wingard who’ve held there own against others in the rolling 22..

    • Alan J

      July 10, 2018 at 7:49 am

      Looking at trades, I’m looking at 2 options

      1. Shed myself from the disastrous Brander experiment and bring in Cogs (form has dipped), Pendles (tough few weeks coming up) or Crouch (should get the Selwood tag this week) and hold onto McInereny’s downgrade $$ for another week OR
      2. Chase the points with Beams, Gaff or Kelly and dump McInerney for a 170k RUC meaning I’m might miss a chance to dump Brander

      • Kanye

        July 10, 2018 at 9:42 am

        Sloane will get the scooter tag

    • Simon

      July 10, 2018 at 8:55 am

      Yeah, Beams and Zorko are knocking on the door but not sure how they get in over Coniglio, Pendles or Oliver.

      Recency bias at it again!

  2. Balsam

    July 10, 2018 at 8:56 am

    Wow… it’s tough at the top. Coniglio tons up, yet still gets dropped?

    • Balsam

      July 10, 2018 at 8:57 am

      … and Kelly keeps his spot after an 89?

      • Simon

        July 10, 2018 at 9:48 am

        Kelly still top 8 though. 89 is about the worst you’ll see from him.

        For me, the top 8 are: Titch, Gaff, Kelly, Coniglio, Jelwood, Oliver, Pendles and any of Murphy, Sidey, Crouch, Beams or Heppell.

  3. Simon

    July 10, 2018 at 9:00 am

    Coniglio averaging 111 from his past 2 games after a slow return from injury / bye where he scored 71.

    Beams and Zorko have gone under 70 plenty of times already this year… Coniglio’s done it once since 2016.

    • Alan J

      July 10, 2018 at 9:47 am

      Shit.. 71 was his lowest score since Rd 2 2016!!!

  4. BenOswald

    July 10, 2018 at 9:04 am

    Beams v Selwood?

    • Simon

      July 10, 2018 at 9:45 am

      Tough call… if it was my team I’d pick Selwood. Him and Murphy will fill my last two mid spots for finals (replacing Adams and Telly)

  5. DBoms

    July 10, 2018 at 9:30 am

    Best option?

    Gaff + 52k
    Beams + 120k
    Cripps + 127k (good run home)
    Adams +213k

    I had pencilled in Gaff, but I think I’m leaning towards Beams. Only because after Gaff goes big against Collingwood this week, he’ll have Dunkley and Jacobs tags the next 2, I’m not confident enough on him with tags. And the extra cash from Beams will be handy.
    Taylor Adams would be a big risk, but could be worth it, it would allow me to do a double upgrade next week. He is getting the midfield time now that Treloar is gone, and take away his 3 frees against last week and that’s a 100. I think the potential is there for him to start going 110 – just risky.

    Thoughts??

    • Simon

      July 10, 2018 at 9:43 am

      Shuey generally cops the tags, but the risk is always there I guess.

      I’ve had Adams a few weeks now and he’s a bit frustrating (90-100) as he’s holding up a premo spot without really looking like becoming one.

      I don’t mind Cripps but would be more inclined to pick Murphy after his price drops given their good run home.

      Beams is pumping out good numbers and probably offers better value for money than Gaff in that with Gaff you’re paying a premium for past performance.

      So of those 4, like you, I reckon Beams.

      • DBoms

        July 10, 2018 at 12:13 pm

        Not necessarily, they have both copped their fair share of tags over the course – and there is no way you would be tagging Shuey over Gaff currently.

        If you look at Adams’ 2 recent games without Treloar, he has put up decent numbers in reduced TOG (both only around 70% compared to the rest of the year at upwards of 80%) – so he is playing a more fantasy friendly role, just not getting on the park – surely if he maintains that role, and his TOG increases, he’ll be looking at 110+ ??

        Although yes, you’re probably right, should play the straight bat and go Beams, which still leaves 120k for an upgrade next week.

    • Alan J

      July 10, 2018 at 9:46 am

      If you’re going to take a punt this week I’d be looking at Dusty or Adams, but I like Beams best from the options you’ve mentioned..

      • Alan J

        July 10, 2018 at 9:50 am

        Dusty over* Adams

      • DBoms

        July 10, 2018 at 12:07 pm

        I already have Dusty. Unfortunately, I’ve had him all year.

        • j

          July 10, 2018 at 2:12 pm

          Had him at the start, sold him 5 weeks ago….now looking to bring him back.

  6. Nick

    July 10, 2018 at 10:55 am

    Thoughts between Brayshaw and Sicily?

  7. CCC

    July 10, 2018 at 11:00 am

    Struggling to decide between Oliver or Beams, hmmm. Lowest average starting player will be Rockliff after this trade so will just be minor adjustments from here

    • Simon

      July 10, 2018 at 11:25 am

      Not much between them, though I favour Oliver for consistency

    • ADC

      July 11, 2018 at 3:13 pm

      Have been asking the same question… Gonna go with Oliver though as the consistency is too good to turn down.

  8. Davo

    July 10, 2018 at 12:22 pm

    I have $1.3M to spend on two premium mids. Who are the best two mids for that money?

    Already have Titch, Kelly, Cogs, Zerret, Crouch. Thinking maybe Sidebottom and Dusty? Maybe Beams?

    • Simon

      July 10, 2018 at 2:38 pm

      Heppell and Dusty seem the value, could upgrade to players like Fyfe, Macrae or Murphy when they bottom out… their prices will probably pass each other at some stage.

      To answer your question, I reckon go Sidey and Heppell and save the dosh for an injury / cheeky upgrade later in the year.

      • Simon

        July 10, 2018 at 2:42 pm

        Sorry Davo, didn’t do the maths properly… for $1.3m I reckon the best combo on offer is Pendles / Heppell

        • Davo

          July 11, 2018 at 2:36 pm

          Thanks mate!

  9. HAWKA

    July 10, 2018 at 1:17 pm

    matt crouch or westhoff?

  10. Bomber Thompson

    July 10, 2018 at 1:54 pm

    McInerney -> Abbott and Guelfi -> Pendles?

    • Alan J

      July 10, 2018 at 2:53 pm

      Solid trades Bomber!!

  11. smile

    July 10, 2018 at 2:20 pm

    Kerr to Dusty or mihocek to Heppell ?

    • Simon

      July 10, 2018 at 2:43 pm

      2

  12. Grovers Guns

    July 10, 2018 at 2:21 pm

    Really wanted to DSmith or Laird (DPP Sicily) this week to have all premos (nearly). Currently have Ahern as F6.

    First trade Ronke to North (Heeney DPP back to forward line) leaving me with $294k.

    Want to get rid of Waterman from bench giving me $640k for a defender or forward ($50k short of the above 2)

    Def – Yeo, LLoyd, Simpson, Brayshaw, Whitfield, Sicily
    Fwd – McLean, Heeney, Rocky, Wingard, Fritsch, Ahern

    Just run with it and cash in BigO for Abbott or any other suggestions?
    Can take a rookie in any line using my DPP’s

  13. Constantinople

    July 10, 2018 at 2:45 pm

    Or hawk pretending to be an english teacher

  14. Constantinople

    July 10, 2018 at 2:48 pm

    Either way. This is fantasy football not a literature exam- who cares, in this context.

  15. Sic dog

    July 10, 2018 at 4:33 pm

    Is breust an option

    • the cricket

      July 10, 2018 at 8:26 pm

      No

  16. xstoopsx

    July 10, 2018 at 5:54 pm

    could really use a hand deciding between Heppell, stevens and smith (hawthorn)for my M7

    • Paul

      July 10, 2018 at 6:40 pm

      Heppell for price and average.

      • xstoopsx

        July 10, 2018 at 11:31 pm

        yeah tue but i like smith for his uniquness and high ceiling plus hawks have a good run of games coming up and hell never cop a tag

  17. Rocky Road

    July 10, 2018 at 6:37 pm

    Trading Gowers and Fritsch to McLean and $579k left thinking Buddy, Walters, Dunkley or anyone else ?

  18. Sampson

    July 10, 2018 at 8:06 pm

    Simon no offence I’ve seen u comment on everything for a while shut your hole up you act like your top dog bust your hole

    • Squid

      July 10, 2018 at 10:37 pm

      Where’s Grammar Nazi when you need him/her?

      • the cricket

        July 11, 2018 at 12:30 am

        Don’t know about the Grammar Nazi, but the Punctuation Nazi says hello :)

  19. the cricket

    July 10, 2018 at 8:24 pm

    Haha +1 … but can we agree that “verse isn’t a word in the context in which you use it” is preferable to ending a sentence with a preposition?

    Kind regards,
    Another Grammar Nazi.

  20. Brett

    July 10, 2018 at 11:56 pm

    Hi guys

    Best trade out of:-

    1) ronke + e.curnow to rocky + duncan

    2) ronke + e.curnow to westhoff + dusty/adams

    • Alan J

      July 11, 2018 at 6:40 am

      I’m a big fan of Duncan, but the Power mids are too unpredictable.. Everyone has had a run and it’s hard to pick who’s going to get the minutes needed for a decent score for any given week out of Rocky, Gray, Wines, Boak, Ebert, Wingard and even Motlop..

      That said, Westhoff does everything and is consistent, so pair him with Dusty who could be ready to go bang and ramp up his output heading into finals.

      • the cricket

        July 11, 2018 at 2:10 pm

        +1

  21. preston007

    July 11, 2018 at 6:40 am

    Crouch, Zorko, Selwood or Oliver.. can’t make up my mind!

    • Another Arctic Flying wombat Panda of Doom named Drowning fish

      July 11, 2018 at 8:12 am

      Selwood

    • the cricket

      July 11, 2018 at 2:12 pm

      Crouch – buy cheap when you can

  22. Ryan

    July 11, 2018 at 8:36 am

    Heppell and Lambert
    V
    Dusty and Wingard?

  23. M8

    July 11, 2018 at 1:54 pm

    DEF: Laird, Yeo, Lloyd, Simpson, Whitfield, Ryan (Redman, Smith)
    MID: Mitchell, Kellly, Sidebottom, Coniglio, Cripps, Merrett, Crouch, Sier (Banfield, Narkle)
    RUCK: Martin, Gawn (McInerney, Cameron)
    FWD: McLean, Heeney, Smith, Wingard, Rockliff, Ahern (Guelfi, Ronke)

    Cash: $204k

    Currently have gone Ryan to Sicily and Redman to Lynch, leaving $137k for next week, Thoughts?

    • Alan J

      July 11, 2018 at 2:19 pm

      With Simpson not likely to come back in, I wouldn’t be trading out Ryan this week.. He has had a rough couple weeks, but he should outscore Sier who I’d be looking to move to the bench. I’d be looking at cashing in Banfield or Ronke first.

      Redman to Lynch and then Banfield to Sicily via Ahern DPP and play him at M8..

  24. preston007

    July 11, 2018 at 6:10 pm

    Heppell & Laird OR Crouch/Selwood & Whitfield?

  25. yoyoyo

    July 12, 2018 at 6:52 pm

    A, B, C, D please help

    A. Selwood and Farrell + 51k
    B. Oliver and Lynch + 21k
    C. Beams and Lynch + 25k
    D. Sidebottom and Lynch + 14k

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