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Calvin's Captains

Calvin’s Captains – Rd. 12

No Mitchell… no Macrae… no Fyfe…. NO WORRIES. In a time of need, Calvin has crunched the numbers extra hard for you this week.

#1 – Dayne Zorko v Essendon @ the GABBA

FYI – Fyfe was my #1 before he got rubbed out, but let’s soldier on.

Zorko is averaging 124 in his last three games this year and will not be tagged in this one.

At the GABBA this year he is averaging 117 from 5 games (which even included a 55) where he returns this week. This is a huge factor for Zorko who currently averages just 70 when playing away.

Then look at the numbers he has had against the Bombers in the past with scores of 124, 108 and 104.

Tick this one off with confidence. He’s back and firing and returns home. Get on!

#2 – Max Gawn v Collingwood
@ the MCG

In his last three games against Grundy, Max Gawn has scored 70, 146 and 107. In every game, he has won the hit out count… and he’s coming off a huge 141 (57 hit outs last week).

Rucks against Grundy haven’t struggled this year. The big name guys such as Nankervis (131), Stefan (130) and Kreuzer (120) all found it quiet easy. Over the last 3 weeks, the lesser name players (Apeness 81, Trengove 62, Ratuguola 52) have struggled… but we’d expect that to be the case. But even saying that, Apeness still scored 81 with 17d and 17 hit outs.

Max loves playing at the MCG, a ground he has played at 5 times this year for an average of 125.

#3 – Stephen Coniglio v Suns @ SPO

Not sure how he’ll pull up after his head knock or even if he’ll play, cause he did sit out heaps of the 4th term in Adelaide so let’s cross our fingers, because if he’s ok… he’ll be great.

The Suns are the easiest team for midfielders to score on at the moment giving up 4.5×100+ scores a game in recent weeks.

They are also his favourite team to get points against and after not playing them in 2017, he has scored 5×100+ scores against them in his career 8 games.

He’s back at SPO, a place where he has scored 123, 111 and 102 this year. If he plays and doesn’t have a head ache, he’ll be a ripper.

#4 – Brodie Grundy v Melbourne
@ the MCG

Controversially sits at #4, but hear me out!

His form is amazing. He has been on fire all year and continues to get the job done, and has been my #1 option for the last two weeks. He has scored 131, 124 and 135 in his last three and averages 125 in his last five games this year… But this time he’s up against Max Gawn.

As I said, Max has beaten him in hitouts for the last three games and that will be the case again. In his last two games against the Pies, Grundy has scored 100 (against Max) and 158 (No Max).

Rucks against Max Gawn have struggled this year. Hickey has been the best with just 89 and even the big name rucks such as Jacobs (49), Kreuzer (78), Witts (80), Stefan (68) and Goldy (60) have all found the going very tough.

Add to this, Melbourne are on fire. They’re mega hard to score against at the moment. I can totally understand why you’d want to roll with Grundy once again here based off his form alone. But you have been warned and the numbers don’t lie.

#5 – Dayne Beams v Essendon @ the GABBA

137 and 127 are his last two scores and he returns home to a ground he averages 122 at in his last three games. Beamer scored 113 against the Bombers last year and after a slow start… he looks fit and firing once again.

#6 – Jake Lloyd v St Kilda @ Etihad

I know he has scored 88 and 90 in recent weeks, but Lloydy will be huge.

Firstly, the Saints give up the most points to small defenders and at the moment, they rank as the 4th easiest overall in the game.

St Kilda are Jake’s favourite team to score against (by a mile) with numbers of 63 (played lots of midtime), 122, 119 and 121 in his career 4 games against them.

Then add into the equation the venue… Etihad.

He’s been to Etihad once this year and managed just 67, but before that he had 122, 106 and 113.

#7 – Angus Brayshaw v Collingwood @ the MCG

Based on form alone, and that he’s up against the Pies, we must consider Angus here.

Coming off scores of 133 and 166 he sits as the #1 man in the game based on form with Titch out this week. He scored 86 on the Pies last year and is worth a thought against the 3rd easiest team for midfielders to score against in the game.

#8 – Bryce Gibbs v Fremantle @ Optus Stadium

A nice 142 last week from Gibbsy is exactly what we want to see and then this week he heads over to WA to take on the Dockers who have given up 15×100+ scores in the last three weeks.

Maybe a tag from Banfield, but I can see Gibbs having a big one here after having 133 and 110 on them in 2017.

#9 – Stef Martin v Essendon @
the GABBA

Recognised ruckman have dominated Essendon this year. Gawn (135), Kreuzer (129), Grundy (110) and Witts (75) are the four big names who have had a crack and as you can see, most of them came out with a solid number.

Stef had 74 and 121 against them last year and just 95 last week. He’s a sure thing for 110+ in my eyes.

#10 – Devon Smith v Brisbane @ the GABBA

Made the top 10 this week after scores of 129 and 113 (and Fyfe missing). He scored 110 and 109 in his last two against the Lions, who gave the Roos 3×109+ scores last week. Sits a little low after looking at these numbers and could be a sneaky option in a tricky week.

QUICKLY, WHO MISSED THE CUT?

Mitch Duncan v Kangaroos @ GMHBA Stadium: 106 and 111 in his last two against North but only averaging 101 in his last three this year.

Dusty Martin v Port Adelaide @ Adelaide Oval: 93 last week was his top score in five weeks. Good record on the Power though with a nice 131 last year and a lowest score of 96 against them in his last 5.

Patrick Dangerfield v Kangaroos @ GMHBA Stadium: Scored a massive 139 and 187 on the Roos in his most recent games, but has only scored over 110 twice this year. Roos are the most restrictive to opposition midfielders despite Beams 137 and Zorko 128 firing against them last week.

Scott Pendlebury v Melbourne @ the MCG: 126 on the Dees last year and has scored 10×100+ in 11 games. You want a 100? This is your man without going massive.

Sam Menegola v Kangaroos @ GMHBA Stadium: Amazingly he has never played the Roos in 3 years and is coming off nice scores of 125 and 120.

Zach Merrett v Brisbane @ the GABBA: After scoring 20pts in the first half against the Lions last year, Zach finished with 78. Before that though he has scored 140 and 130. Averaging just 91 in his last 5 though.

Lachie Neale v Adelaide @ Optus Stadium: 2×100+ scores in his career 8 games against the Crows isn’t pretty. Had 60 on them last year.

Adam Treloar v Melbourne @ the MCG: Melbourne are 2nd hardest to score on at the moment, in fact, Cripps (140) is the only midfielder in the last three weeks to score over 110 against them. Treloar had 103 on them last year and is in decent form with 112 and 130 in his last two.

Lance Franklin v St Kilda @ Etihad Stadium: Kennedy kicked 6 goals (111) on the Saints last week but Buddy only managed 90 and 90 last year. Pass.

Gary Ablett v Kangaroos @ GMHBA Stadium: He’s warming up with scores of 119 and 107, even had 127 and 162 on the Roos last year. Jacobs tag coming? Possibly… or it might even be Selwood.

36 Comments

36 Comments

  1. Wathen FC

    June 6, 2018 at 7:05 pm

    I think Stefan Martin has a good chance to score juicy this week against Bellchambers.

    I went right with Gawn last week. :)

    • Sam S

      June 8, 2018 at 4:01 pm

      without a doubt dude! I have captained Gawn twice, both for his 140’s. When rucks have the right matchup I feel they are incredibly secure in getting 100+ as is Stef this week.

  2. Jaxon

    June 6, 2018 at 7:15 pm

    Am I crazy going Tom Phillips?

    • Jon

      June 7, 2018 at 9:49 am

      wouldnt trust anyone as my captain going up against demons

  3. A smart pupper

    June 6, 2018 at 7:16 pm

    Walters for a smoky (only got the V on him myself). Midfield minutes right up at the moment, Crows midfield pretty unaccountable, Fyfe out. Was on track for another 120+ last week before his corky.

  4. Fooz

    Fooz

    June 6, 2018 at 7:27 pm

    Good review Cal. A very difficult round to call. Reckon there’ll be a few odd scores pop out of the woodwork this weekend.
    And awful ting to predict a Monday game when we won’t know the teams.
    Cheers

    • Wathen FC

      June 6, 2018 at 7:33 pm

      I think Stef will outscore everyone this weekend. Only thing that draws me away is his 95 vs. Goldstein.

  5. Sterlo

    June 6, 2018 at 7:55 pm

    Staggered Matt Crouch doesn’t get a mention.
    Assumes some additional responsibility this week with the Captaincy.
    Should thrive with the Crows under the pump !

    • AFLFantasy2k18

      June 6, 2018 at 9:44 pm

      Banfield tag my friend. Either him or Gibbs will cop it.

      • Sterlo

        June 6, 2018 at 11:35 pm

        Catch the Collingwood Mid scores last week ? It was a bonanza…

        • GrogDog

          June 7, 2018 at 10:11 am

          Funny that, Banfield didn’t tag last week. Depends if he tags or not

  6. E.J

    June 6, 2018 at 8:46 pm

    Hey fellas. Thoights on these
    Mutch-aherm
    Murray-brayshaw(Mel)
    Doedee- Lloyd
    OR
    Same top two but Andrew brayshaw(freo) to Joel selwood
    OR
    Same top two and waterman to buddy or westhoff
    Cheers blokes
    Appreciated

    • Nick

      June 7, 2018 at 8:45 am

      I’d go waterman to westhoff just because he’s a good player and he’ll ride out your byes

      • E.J

        June 7, 2018 at 9:45 am

        Thanks for the reply. My other issue with that is that waterman has the good bye so I can be getting his 60s throughout the tpigh 2 byes. Thoughts?

        • El cappo

          June 7, 2018 at 11:15 am

          With darling out watermans score will increase I think, he will be the second big man down there under josh Kennedy, I don’t think they’ll bring in anyone new as Liam Ryan will be ready and slot straight back in.

  7. Marcus

    June 6, 2018 at 9:58 pm

    I see a lot of people are thinking of Trading in Westhoff am I crazy in thinking Boak could be a better option.

    • Belly

      June 6, 2018 at 10:33 pm

      Boak has 2 scores over 100, Westhoff has 5 plus a much higher ceiling,
      For me saving the $50k doesn’t really help me do something better elsewhere, if he was $100k less with a low BE id be more likely to do it, then trade him in R15.
      I would expect Boak to score 50+ less across the 3 bye rounds.

    • David C

      June 7, 2018 at 7:08 am

      Yes

  8. Richard

    June 6, 2018 at 10:49 pm

    I agree .. “Danye” will go huge

  9. David C

    June 7, 2018 at 9:17 am

    Dusty out. Carnage continues.

  10. Simon

    June 7, 2018 at 9:18 am

    Far kit, Patch Adams for me

  11. Andy.J

    June 7, 2018 at 9:23 am

    It looks like a few of these teams are taking the opportunity to rest their best players. I’m sure Dusty and Coniglio would play if it was finals time.

  12. McGlovins

    June 7, 2018 at 11:21 am

    Is Dusty likely to get DPP? If not, he’s gone.

    • Sam

      June 7, 2018 at 12:10 pm

      He didn’t get it

      • McGlovins

        June 7, 2018 at 2:22 pm

        Far cryin out loud

    • Alan J

      June 7, 2018 at 12:58 pm

      He didn’t.. So he’s gone.. To NZ..

      • Fooz

        Fooz

        June 7, 2018 at 1:35 pm

        Whaddaya reckon he’ll have a rest for three weeks?

        • Alan J

          June 7, 2018 at 2:09 pm

          Not likely..

          Maybe Dimma thinks this week is a worth a rest to gear up for the Cats the week after?

          He’d end up playing 1 game in 3 weeks, with a trip to see the Old Man and gear up for the rest of the season.. I’d be looking to bring him in after Rd 14

          • McGlovins

            June 7, 2018 at 2:22 pm

            Don’t do it is all I can say.

          • A smart pupper

            June 7, 2018 at 3:28 pm

            While he may have been carrying something so far this year, I’m not sure a couple of weeks off will see a return to the scores we expect. Unfortunately Richmond are actually good now, and Dimma has been able to ease Dusty through a lot of games. On top of that he’s actually playing quite well at the moment, so I’m not really sure where a lift in Fantasy output would come from. I’ve certainly been proven wrong in thinking he was a no-brainer at ~800k at the start.

  13. Matthew Woods

    June 7, 2018 at 2:07 pm

    hey guys thoughts on dusty, I have robbo ive gone to westhoff and mutch-ahern so do I offload dusty while I can or hold dusty and get say Austin?? I have fyfe also but holding him as he is top 8 mid.

    • Belly

      June 7, 2018 at 3:02 pm

      If I had him I would offload, he’s not going to be top8.
      You could trade him to Austin and then have $$$ for next week to pick up someone from the R12 bye.

      • Matthew Woods

        June 7, 2018 at 3:17 pm

        yeah good thinking with the $$ that gets me mclean/gaff for next week

  14. Daniel

    June 7, 2018 at 5:40 pm

    Jelwood for the big C?

    • Will

      June 7, 2018 at 10:13 pm

      Yep going up against the number 1 tagger in the business would be a really smart captains decision.

  15. Will

    June 7, 2018 at 10:15 pm

    How a guy who got cleaned up last week and missed the rest of the match with concussion gets #3 is a wonderful decision. Not talking about the fact he is out but even before teams were named.

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