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The Milkmen – JLT1 Rookie Review

The Milkmen look at the rookies to note from JLT1.

Round 1 of JLT gave us a good chance of seeing most of our key rookies in action. Was some real promising signs and unfortunately some not so promising signs from those we expected a lot more out of.

Without further a do here’s a quick summary from each JLT game in round 1 from a rookie perspective.


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North Melbourne Vs Melbourne

Only rookie priced player that put up a decent score in this game was Bayley Fritsch ($210,000 FWD) who scored 69 points. The mature age recruit looked sharp around goals and although Melbourne won’t play North every weekend is still looking good for a round 1 spot after this performance. Viney, Jetta and Jetta all did not play but all do not play the same role as Bayley so just needs a good run at it in JLT2 and we officially have a good forward bench option.

For North key rookies Luke Davies-Uniake (264,000 MID) got 31 points, Ben Jacobs (243,000 MID) had 35, Mitch Hibberd ($235,000 DEF) 28 points, Cameron Zurhaar ($234,000 FWD) 33 points and Alex Morgan ($170,000 DEF) 21 points, were disappointing from a fantasy scoring perspective. LDU  played a high half forward role at times and never really looked comfortable but luckily it looks like North will give him time to grow. It was promising that he got 78% game time.

Ben Jacobs looked like at times he was standing next to Clayton Oliver at stoppages. North were a much better team when Jacobs was shutting down key players and will be one to keep an eye on for JLT2 if he does or doesn’t play this role. If he does then job security clearly increases and will become a safe bench option. Alex Morgan, who moved across to North for more game time, was the only other rookie at North to get over 65% game time so it’s hard to cross a line through all of them (except probably Morgan himself).

Image result for bayley fritsch jlt

Essendon Vs Richmond

Really not much to take out of this game other than Shai Bolton ($241,000 FWD) doing his round 1 chances no harm with a score of 59. He was the only rookie priced player to get over 70% game time and still needed three goals in a 90 odd point drubbing to get to his score. Doesn’t exactly point to reliable scoring and once Daniel Rioli is fit can’t see Shai lasting too much longer in the team. Jack Higgins ($238,000 FWD) was known as a fantasy beast in his junior days but may need to bide his time in the VFL prior to showing this on an AFL setting after only scoring 25 points. He’s already been left out of the team for JLT2. Nank’s concussion opened the door for Mabior Chol ($170,000 FWD) to inflate his score for the day but we aren’t getting to excited there with still only 47 points.

Essendon just had the one rookie priced player having a run and that was Sam Draper ($170,000 RUC) who scored 44 pointsWith key position players in Bellchambers, Hurley and Hooker missing, there’s not much to be excited about there.

Adelaide vs Fremantle

This was a very interesting game from a rookie perspective. It was also one of the more competitive games of the JLT thus far. Tom Doedee ($170,000 DEF) looked very solid down back, scoring 67 from 70% game time. Right now, he appears to be a no brainer to start with in your backline. The other player from Adelaide who really caught our eye is Lachlan Murphy ($170,00 DEF). It’s worth noting that despite his label, Murphy is not a defender. He played as a small forward, kicking three goals and finishing with 60 points from 63% game time. He was clean, provided a lot of spark and was one of Adelaide’s best players on the day. As of right now, both these players are sitting in our defence.

From Fremantle, there were three stand outs, Andrew Brayshaw ($268,000 MID), Bailey Banfield ($170,000 MID) and Alex Pearce ($197,000 DEF). Brayshaw’s role was fantastic from a fantasy perspective. He played as a pure inside midfielder. This allowed the likes of Fyfe and Mundy to spend a lot more time forward. We can see this trend carrying on into the season. Brayshaw scored 66 from 66% game time. Banfield has shot himself into round one contention by performing well in both the first JLT and also the practice match against West Coast on the weekend. In the JLT match, Banfield scored 65 from 39% game time. He is a mature body that look ready to go. Alex Pearce is a player you would get for job security. He is a key position defender that will play every week if fit. Pearce scored 51 from 82% game time.

Image result for bailey banfield jlt

West Coast vs Port Adelaide

Dom Barry ($170,000 MID) was the standout. He looked great out there, collecting 20 touches, laying four tackles and kicking a goal on his way to 84 fantasy points. If named round one, which we suspect he will be, lock him in.

From West Coast, none of their rookies set the world on fire. Venables, Ainsworth, Ryan and Waterman were all low scorers. They are still very much on our watch list, but we will need to see much more if they’re to be viable options for round one.

St Kilda vs Carlton

What a game for some of our rookies! The highlight of it all was Paddy Dow’s ($266,000 MID) 60 point score from only 63% game time. The score included plenty of time in the heart of the midfield, a couple of well executed shots on goals and a centre clearance which resulted in a bullet pass inside 50 on to a teammates chest. Enough to make any fantasy coach proud and made him almost a lock for a berth in Round 1. We do like Harry McKay ($225,000 FWD) based purely on how much he is rated internally but this game didn’t show that potential too well where he scored 42 points. Hopefully we get more next from Harry, but he is a key position player that will take time. Lochie O’Brien ($252,000 MID) had a few shaky possessions for 20 points and didn’t look AFL ready yet. Not for us at this point.

Whatever Paddy Dow did to help his round 1 chance, than Nicholas Coffield $256,000 MID/DEF) did it one better with his 70 points. Playing predominately a long the half back, he was impressive with his positioning to get the ball and was very composed on the field. Unfortunately for Hunter Clark ($258,000 MID) we don’t believe there is enough room in the side for both him and Coffield. He did look good in front of goal to score his 53 points but with Bruce and Billings in the wings it’s hard to see Clark holding his spot at this time. We hope anyone thinking about Nathan Brown ($170,000 DEF) as a safe bench option chose to put a line through that plan, as his score of 19 points came from 95% game time.

Image result for paddy dow jlt

Collingwood vs GWS

Jaidyn Stephenson ($260,000 MID/FWD) spent a large portion of the game on the ground which is promising (80% game time). However, he did not look half as settled as he did in the JLT game for his 38 points but still deserves another look in JLT2. Jaidyn is more a flashy type player who doesn’t look capable of big scores early on. Brody Mihocek ($170,000 DEF)  moved up the pecking order with an impressive performance in defence for 48 points. Another of the mature age types, Brody did average 17 disposals and 7 marks in the VFL last year. However, with Moore and Howe still to come back in it will be interesting to see if Brody can hold his spot. Flynn Appleby ($170,000 DEF) is in a very similar boat despite scoring 49 points.

On GWS’s end the most promising performance came from Jeremy Finlayson ($170,000 DEF) with 55 points. The best part of his game was the fact that at time he was trusted with the kick in duties. If Heath Shaw does play a game further up the ground then this reads well for the trust the team has in Finlayson and his job security. A proven scorer in the NEAFL also which just adds to the pro column. Zac Langdon ($170,000 FWD) had 37 points and Lachlan Tiziani  who had 54 points seem to be playing for the same spot. With Greene and Deledio still to get a run it will be interesting to see if there’s a spot for even one of them. Although Tiziani played a stronger game on the day, the way that assistant coach has pumped up Zac in the offseason would suggest he may be ahead to fill any void that comes available. For now neither of these players are a lock. Lachlan Keefe ($170,000 DEF/FWD)  didn’t do those with him in their team (including us) many favours by only getting 31 points. We do still believe he has a potential fantasy friendly role at GWS if he’s needed to relieve Simspon in the ruck so will stick with the faith heading in to JLT2.   

Western Bulldogs vs Hawthorn

The standout from this game would have to be Aaron Naughton ($254,000 DEF). Yes, he only scored 51 from 84% game time, but he looked great out there and seems like he is up to the standard. He is used to playing against bigger bodies as he spent last season playing WAFL. He is an excellent intercept mark and should slot right in. Only downside is that his ceiling is quite low.

Slim pickings from a rookie perspective were on show for Hawks. We would have loved to have seen James Worpel out there as he was an early favourite of ours who showed promise in AFL X. David Mirra was only given less than a quarter of game time, so his 11 points can be excused. Hopefully we can see these potential cash cows get more of a run in JLT 2.

Image result for aaron naughton jlt series

Brisbane vs. Sydney

Not much to report on from a rookie perspective this game. Unfortunately, Cameron Raynor was quite disappointing, only scoring 18 points from 61% game time. We don’t think Raynor will be a very high scorer going forward and his price tag of $270,000 is enough to turn us off starting him in round one.

From Sydney, Ryley Stoddart ($170,000 DEF) was quite impressive, scoring 53 from 65 % game time. He showed his athleticism and composure coming out of the backline. We also know Sydney love playing their kids. He is certainly on our watch list. Darcy Cameron ($170,000 RUC) was unfortunately not able to take advantage of the injury to Callum Sinclair and secure a spot in the team just yet. Looks like we may be looking far and wide for a safe ruck bench option again this year.

Gold Coast Vs. Geelong

We went into this game with our eyes fixed on one of our favourites, Nick Holman ($170,000 MID) and he didn’t disappoint. Holman scored 80 points from 73% game time. Holman is an experienced big body midfielder who was previously on Carlton’s list and last year averaged 26 disposals in the SANFL. He is a fantasy friendly player who loves to tackle and can find the ball. Holman has done his round one chances no harm. If named, get him in.

Tim Kelly ($224,000 mid) did his round one chances no harm, scoring 48 from 60% game time. He also attended a game high 15 centre bounces. The experienced 23 year old certainly looks up to the standard and has plenty of experience versing bigger bodies in the WAFL. Motlop replacement? Teenage midfielders Charlie Constable ($200,000 MID) and Lachie Fogarty ($228,000 MID) were also impressive, both scoring 63 points from roughly 65 % game time. Both of these boys are ball magnets (particularly Fogarty) and probably haven’t got the attention they deserve from us, purely because they have been drafted to Geelong where there is no shortage of midfielders. If either of these boys are named round one, they are serious options.

JLT Week 3

Join us next week where we will be providing a brief summary of each game from a rookie perspective again prior to our final write up leading in to the proper season. As for now, our current team of rookies leading in to JLT3 looks like below:

FOLLOW US ON TWITTER:@TheMilkmenDT specialising in cash cow selections but still here to talk all things AFL fantasy.

79 Comments

79 Comments

  1. Laughing Lamb

    March 6, 2018 at 4:56 pm

    Thoughts on Florent?

    How do we rank the MID rookies in

    Brayshaw, LDU, Dow, Kelly, Bainfield, Barry, Holman

    Great right up!

    • The Milkmen

      March 6, 2018 at 7:02 pm

      Hard not to get around Florent’s story and has shown true resilience which should set the base for a great career.
      He is capable and the lack of Hannebery and Zak Jones inflated his scoring over the weekend. At this point we can’t justify the hefty price tag but is one more good JLT game away with all players back from proving us wrong.

      Ranking those rookies it depends what balance you want between scoring potential and job security. Factoring in both at this point in time we’re saying
      1. Dow 2. Holman 3. Brayshaw 4. LDU 5. Barry 6. Kelly 7. Banfield

      • Laughing Lamb

        March 6, 2018 at 7:49 pm

        Fair point about missing Hannebery and Zak Jones!

        I want all the mid rookies! Don’t have space! Really have Kelly that low?! Guess it’s a wait and see with full strength teams in JLT 2

        • The Milkmen

          March 6, 2018 at 11:05 pm

          Exactly!
          Tim Kelly lowers down based on the uncertainty around job security really at this point.

  2. nugget

    March 6, 2018 at 5:06 pm

    i know he’s 2k over your guys area of expertise (woopty-doo) but could you please give us your thoughts on oliver florent (272k fwd)

    • The Milkmen

      March 6, 2018 at 7:03 pm

      We’ll break the rule for you Nugget.
      Refer to above.

  3. anth80

    March 6, 2018 at 5:11 pm

    Boys.

    Can we/Should we start Alex Pearce on our field. He’ll play most weeks?

    • The Milkmen

      March 6, 2018 at 6:57 pm

      All depends how many rookies you are looking at playing back there?
      Feel Murray, Doedee and Finlayson are all ahead on scoring potential but Pearce is ahead of Murray on Finlayson for job security

      • anth80

        March 6, 2018 at 7:13 pm

        Currently have Coffield, Hibberd and Doedee in def with Murray and Finlayson on bench.

        If I get Pearce I can turn Kelly into Dow.

        • The Milkmen

          March 6, 2018 at 7:24 pm

          Could be a good bet to switch Pearce for Hibberd unless Hibberd produces something special this week in JLT2.

          • anth80

            March 6, 2018 at 7:32 pm

            Play Pearce on field?
            Should I get Brayshaw for Kelly? Sorry said Dow but meant Brayshaw?

            Thanks

          • LWD

            March 6, 2018 at 9:04 pm

            NOTE: Hibberd played half the game, which wasn’t mentioned in the article above.

    • LWD

      March 6, 2018 at 8:06 pm

      you can but I prefer Doedee, sitting at D7 for me.

  4. anth80

    March 6, 2018 at 6:02 pm

    Also which one out of Dow or Brayshaw do we take? Only have room for one as Kelly is M8. Barry M9 and Holman M10.

    • The Chosen Won

      March 6, 2018 at 6:16 pm

      Kelly only scored well and got to show case his talents because there was no Danger/Ablett or Selwood’s I’m not picking him in Fantasy with cheaper and better options, I do however have Kelly as my M10 in Dreamteam because he is 147k!

      Dow
      Brayshaw
      Barry
      Holman

      Good Luck™®©

      • anth80

        March 6, 2018 at 6:53 pm

        Who’s a cheaper and better option then Kelly? Dow, Brayshaw are dearer then Kelly.

        That is all.

    • The Milkmen

      March 6, 2018 at 7:05 pm

      At this point it’s hard not to feel like splitting hairs but Dow slightly ahead based on junior career form also.

      • LWD

        March 6, 2018 at 8:08 pm

        I’m going Brayshaw and Kelly see Brayshaw going higher than Dow and Kelly roughly the same so may as well save yourself the 40k.

    • 13th Man

      March 7, 2018 at 2:15 pm

      I reckon Brayshaw will get more pure midfield time than Dow but either ones a great pick, just from what I’ve seen so far id go Brayshaw.

  5. The Spud

    March 6, 2018 at 6:13 pm

    not quite as good as jep, but thanks for trying

    (jk great start boys)

  6. Will

    March 6, 2018 at 6:16 pm

    Does that team show 4 indigenous players.

  7. Shaun

    March 6, 2018 at 6:35 pm

    Taken up where Jeppa left off. Thanks guys for the good read.

    • The Milkmen

      March 6, 2018 at 6:57 pm

      Thanks for the support Shaun!

      • maccas

        March 6, 2018 at 10:21 pm

        You’re welcome guys.

        • maccas

          March 6, 2018 at 10:23 pm

          Ito save the confusion I’ve changed my user id

        • maccas

          March 6, 2018 at 10:24 pm

          To save the confusion
          I’ve changed my user id

  8. Herb

    March 6, 2018 at 7:00 pm

    Great read.gives me plenty to ponder about.

    • The Milkmen

      March 6, 2018 at 7:05 pm

      Here’s hoping we start getting some more certainty in the roles/job security of our rookies following the next round of JLT

  9. Fractured Jelly

    March 6, 2018 at 7:28 pm

    Struggling for foward bench options what are your thoughts?

    • Euman

      March 6, 2018 at 8:57 pm

      I’ve gone deep in forwards billings – Heeney – smith – Christensen – McCartin – fritz (Keefe – dear but these guys shaky have 128k left so one of them could be Rayner but he did not score well and historically I heard he does not and I’m not convinced on JS for him)

      • anth80

        March 6, 2018 at 9:05 pm

        What’s your other lines like if you’ve gone deep in fwd line?

        That is all

    • Euman

      March 6, 2018 at 8:59 pm

      That way only 1 rookie on field provided paddy can stay fit and be consistent

      • Fractured Jelly

        March 6, 2018 at 9:17 pm

        2 rooks def, 3 mid and 2 forward

  10. The Milkmen

    March 6, 2018 at 7:39 pm

    For us that’s the hardest spot to fill right now. We will most likely be starting Fritsch on the ground. The three West Coast boys (Ryan, Rioli, Venables) all have good job security but will need to show us more in JLT 2. We were also very impressed with Lachlan Murphy from Adelaide :)

    • Fractured Jelly

      March 6, 2018 at 7:46 pm

      Yeah i have him as well. All good as long as im not the only one having issues down there;)

    • House of Cards

      March 6, 2018 at 7:55 pm

      L Murphy’s listed as a DEF (Even tho he plays as a small fwd). Even so could be a good pick

    • LWD

      March 6, 2018 at 7:58 pm

      I’ve gone Fritsch f6 with Ryan and Rioli on the pine, I think that’s the best bet.

      • Fractured Jelly

        March 6, 2018 at 8:43 pm

        I have Willy and dear

  11. Ryan

    March 6, 2018 at 7:43 pm

    Is Naughton a comfortable pick at D5? Running a 3 rookie defence of Coffield, Naughton, Doedee and 170k bench guys. Don’t expect Naughton to pump out 90’s, but based on his JLT game and career numbers, could we see a 60 average and solid JS?

    • LWD

      March 6, 2018 at 7:59 pm

      I’m going 3 rookie in DEF also but am going Coffield, Hibberd and Doedee with Pearce and Finlayson on the pine. I feel like Hibberd JS is almost better and has a more fantasy friendly role. Showed signs last year with 87 as to what he is capable of, I’m surprised his ownership is only at 10% currently.

    • The Milkmen

      March 6, 2018 at 8:41 pm

      He’s a fine option to start with on your ground. We think he’s probably more of a 50’s average player. Coffield, Doedee and then either a Murray, Finlayson, Murphy may be a better option to start with on your ground. We are starting with him more for job security reasons :)

      • LWD

        March 6, 2018 at 9:05 pm

        I’d say Mitch Hibberd’s JS is better than Naughton’s but each to your own.

  12. SOS

    March 6, 2018 at 7:52 pm

    Jake Waterman will get a game or two early, was good in the practice match on the weekend although, admittedly average in JLT 1

  13. Freo Doker

    March 6, 2018 at 8:19 pm

    Thoughts on WIll Brodie in SC (I know it’s not as good as Fantasy, I’ve been roped into it)? Cheaper than Brayshaw/Dow at 187k, and surely has a good job security and ceiling with more time in the rebuilt midfield?

    • The Milkmen

      March 6, 2018 at 10:50 pm

      For Supercoach almost a must have at that price!
      Big wraps from the pre-season and plenty of midfield minutes to go around at Gold Coast.

  14. Billy

    March 6, 2018 at 9:15 pm

    Any concern at all that Coffield really struggled to score with Geary on the field and only after he went off did Coffield actually start scoring?

    • The Milkmen

      March 6, 2018 at 10:53 pm

      His responsibility definitely increased but it was more Coffield’s composure that we liked and how comfortable the teammates were putting it in to his hands. Few disposals that weren’t amazing in there but you got to give the rookies some slack on that front.

  15. Lee

    March 6, 2018 at 9:17 pm

    Someone needs to proofread these. Difficult read and many errors.

    • SAM78

      March 6, 2018 at 9:33 pm

      I red it and didnt sea any issues.

    • The Milkmen

      March 6, 2018 at 10:52 pm

      Woops! Our bad!

      • Adam

        March 8, 2018 at 2:41 pm

        A bit ironic coming from you Lee!!

  16. SAM78

    March 6, 2018 at 9:32 pm

    Thanks guys nice work. I found info on a few extra rookies which i wouldn’t have if i didn’t read the article. How many rookies on the field is an ideal number? I have 7 but a D.Simspon as R2 at this stage

    • LWD

      March 6, 2018 at 10:50 pm

      I have 6

    • The Milkmen

      March 6, 2018 at 10:51 pm

      That’s the million dollar question isn’t it!
      We’ll need one more week of JLT to be able to answer that with more confidence. Keep an eye out for our article leading in to the start of the season and we’ll aim to answer that question properly!

  17. jeff

    March 6, 2018 at 10:49 pm

    I’m not a fan of the milkmen only because I came home one day after work and found my ex gf in bed with him.

  18. Smart Footy

    March 6, 2018 at 11:25 pm

    Going with 3 rookie priced defenders on field, what at the best 3 based on scoring potential

    • The Milkmen

      March 7, 2018 at 12:10 am

      As of now, Coffield, Doedee and Murray

  19. Your HS English teacher

    March 7, 2018 at 7:50 am

    That was painful to read.

    Please get a proofreader.

    • Ned kelly

      March 7, 2018 at 10:03 am

      Talking football not shit, do everyone a favor and disapear back up into your own ass

  20. Henry

    March 7, 2018 at 2:18 pm

    The Milkmen! Awesome read fellas. Really taking over the great man exceptionally well.

    Fritsch being the obvious choice. Who would you rate higher (in order) out of:

    Ryan, Ahern, Keefe, Stephenson and Bolton

    for the F6 position and even those F7 & F8

    Also,

    Who’s higher in the pecking order: Murray or Murphy in Defence

    Cheers

    • The Milkmen

      March 8, 2018 at 1:00 am

      Thanks Henry! Appreciate the support. For us, the forward line rookies have been the toughest to rank. Right now, I’d probably have Bolton number one out of those four. We have Fritsch and Venables as our F5 and F6. Bench Rioli and Keefe purely because they are cheaper. I’m sure this will change free JLT 2.

      Can’t wait to get a look at Murray. We have him over Murphy at the moment.

  21. 13th Man

    March 7, 2018 at 2:18 pm

    Thoughts on forward line rookies? Rioli, Stephenson, Rayner, Ryan all disappointing. So bummed Setterfield did his ACL.
    Right now Fritsch the only one that gives me any confidence and I really need another one on field so I don’t go mid price mad in the FWD line.

    • The Milkmen

      March 8, 2018 at 1:02 am

      Toughest position to fill with rookies. We think many will play, but few have scoring potential. Venables at F6 probably best option right now. We know he didn’t have a great JLT 1, but hopefully he can turn that around. Unlike Ryan and Rioli, he will spend time in the midfield.

  22. Dovaas

    March 7, 2018 at 3:35 pm

    Stephensen himself i thought was still a little below what we hoped but is still on the radar as is Ryan.

    Keefe is an option although will he get into the 22. He may have to have the extra rookie in MID or DEF and one on field in FWD along with Christensen and say Olivier Florent from Syd and McCartin or Garlett etc the 250-350 range

    mid priced “madness is ok as long as its not a team packed with them but some is fine

  23. everard

    March 7, 2018 at 4:27 pm

    Darcy cameron lock in for round 1? Or will sydney only go for one ruck with the breaking news of naismith injury

    • David C

      March 7, 2018 at 4:35 pm

      There was talk of Alir Alir going into the ruck. I think it will happen now.

      • The Milkmen

        March 8, 2018 at 7:02 pm

        Yeah by no means is Cameron a lock but still part of a small bunch to fill those two bench rookie spots. Chances have only increased but if the rumour mill about Tippet returning is correct then he goes one more down the pecking order.

  24. Sven

    March 7, 2018 at 5:59 pm

    List these guys if you can

    David Mirra
    Brody Mihocek
    Lachlan Murphy
    Tom Doedee

    • everard

      March 7, 2018 at 6:08 pm

      Copy and paste

    • The Milkmen

      March 8, 2018 at 7:03 pm

      Doedee ahead on job security.
      Scoring potential then goes Mirra, Murphy, Mihocek

  25. The chosen won

    March 8, 2018 at 10:26 am

    Oi

  26. Cheeks

    March 8, 2018 at 10:30 am

    Pearce or o’brien?

  27. Kingzy

    March 9, 2018 at 1:27 pm

    Is Liam Ryan a decent option for F4?

    So Ryan, Fritsch, Venables? (Tiziani, Rioli)

    Def rookies:

    Coffield, Naughton, Doedee (Murray, Finlayson)

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