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Deck of Dream Team

Stephen Coniglio – Deck of DT 2018

Underpriced and forgotten. Coniglio is in Matt’s team.

Image result for stephen coniglio s.afl.com.auName: Stephen Coniglio
Team: GWS
Position: MID
AFL Fantasy: $663,000
Bye Round: 13
2017 Average: 95.7
2017 Games Played: 7
Predicted Average: 108
Draft Range: 40-50

Click here for DT Live profile.

Why should I pick him?

Stephen Coniglio seems like a forgotten man. Given his lack of recent football it’s no surprise, but it has meant that he comes into 2018 as a potential steal. Back in 2016 he averaged a sensational 104 including 13 tons. What may surprise some is that at the time he was only 22 (in his fifth season). It seems like he has been around forever, but Coniglio has only just turned 24 and we certainly haven’t seen the best of him at AFL level. Not even close to it. He will play his 100th career game this season and that is often when we start to see the best from midfielders.

2017 was a difficult year for him, but one glance at his finals series suggests that he’s back in business. Scores of 134, 121 and 90 prove he’s capable of being an uber premium midfielder, and it’s fair to attribute his lack of big scores beforehand to his lack of football. Over the 10 games he played including finals, his average is 101.5. There’s a nice $40,000 discount before we even begin. In contrast to his interrupted 2017, Coniglio has enjoyed a full pre-season and is seemingly in peak condition. Great news.

There’s no denying that the Giants missed their Vice-Captain last season, and he will be thrust straight back into the guts in Round 1. Not only do I believe he will average 100+, I think he has the capability to push 110. Obviously he wins plenty of the footy (Averaging 27 disposals since 2016) but he also loves to tackle. I don’t care whether you tackle like a man possessed or just sit on a player before a ball up, those +4’s are vital. He averaged just under 7 tackles per game, putting him in the elite category.

The DT game is there, the ability is there, if he can just add the fitness then he shapes up to be a fantastic differential in Fantasy (Owned by just 6%).

Image result for stephen coniglio s.afl.com.au

Why shouldn’t I pick him?

The problem when presuming a player will improve their scoring returning from injury, is that you need them to remain 100% fit throughout the season. Coniglio has managed to do this just once in his 5 seasons for the Giants. Ankles rarely heal completely, so there’s always the risk he could roll it again and force you into a trade. If it happened early in a game, the result could be catastrophic. Sideways trades need to be avoided so picking too many injury prone players is unlikely to end well.

I don’t think the risk lies in his role or scoring potential. However the fact that he failed to crack the ton in his last 3 H&A games does need to be noted. I’m fully confident he will be a permanent midfielder and I simply can’t see him being wasted as a tagger.

As is often the case, the biggest problem can be finding a spot for another midfielder in that mid $600k bracket. To be a successful pick Coniglio would want to up his average by at least 7-8 points and remain injury free. There is risk involved and there are plenty of alternative picks who may be seen as a safer bet.

Deck of DT Rating.

KING – Just like B.Crouch and Blakely before him, Coniglio currently sits in my team. I like to have some differentials in my squad, and if they happen to average 100+ and be underpriced then so be it. While he may be a risk too far in limited trade formats, he’s another potential draft slider that should be bumped well up your midfield lists. We haven’t seen the best of Coniglio yet, and you best believe I won’t be missing the train when we do. 2018 is set up perfectly for him and his Giants.

What does Coniglio average this season?

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33 Comments

33 Comments

  1. Roger

    February 7, 2018 at 8:18 am

    Would love to fit him into my team but can’t get him in atm.

  2. Tom Mitchell

    February 7, 2018 at 8:54 am

    I’m so annoyed about this article … i thought I had managed to keep him to myself :(

    • Ned kelly

      February 7, 2018 at 9:07 am

      Jet

    • TimorSaint

      February 7, 2018 at 3:12 pm

      same here. he’ll average 110 and is a lock for me

    • Josh

      February 7, 2018 at 4:42 pm

      That’s alright. Not many people read this site. I’ve got him as well as M6.

  3. andyjh

    February 7, 2018 at 9:12 am

    A lock in RDT a no in Fantasy

    • Sleazy

      February 7, 2018 at 11:16 pm

      A guy who has struggled with injuries every season since debut is a lock in a limited trade format? Lol

  4. Euman

    Euman

    February 7, 2018 at 9:14 am

    Its P Cripps or Coniglio for me? thoughts? Cripps sits in my team atm because i have man crush and apparently he is tearing up the track

  5. Ryan

    February 7, 2018 at 9:37 am

    105 is a minimum for a keeper/premo in the midfield. I can’t say for sure if he’ll do that

  6. Matt

    February 7, 2018 at 10:02 am

    Hadn’t considered him for a second but I’m convinced. Dunno if I’ll squeeze him in but absolutely in contention for M5 for me now.

  7. Fooz

    Fooz

    February 7, 2018 at 2:54 pm

    He’s in at M5 for me.

    • Fooz

      Fooz

      February 7, 2018 at 2:55 pm

      However, that depends on how the Weagles nurse Nic Nat’s knee

      • Josh

        February 7, 2018 at 4:41 pm

        I hopped off the Nic Nat train today. I feel like he’s too much of an injury risk, and other players have said he is taking it easy heading into the season. I’ve been tossing up between Stefan Martin and Sam Jacobs, both around 700K.

  8. Jack

    February 7, 2018 at 3:34 pm

    Coniglio, J Selwood or Fyfe?

    • D35TROYA

      February 7, 2018 at 9:25 pm

      Cogs 100%

  9. Yogi-berry

    February 7, 2018 at 4:08 pm

    Kelly vs Cogs

    Could they avg around the same if so Cogs would be better value or do we just go Kelly knowing what he can do

    • Matt

      February 7, 2018 at 5:17 pm

      I think that Cogs is… “safer” due to the fact he’s like, 5th mid for GWS while teams may actually start locking down on Kelly. However Kelly has a 112 average season which is full on uberpremium, so they’re looking at massively different spots in your line up. Like M2-3 for Kelly vs M5-6 for Cogs

  10. MGPT

    February 7, 2018 at 4:43 pm

    Potential 115 mid but… this game is stressful enough as it is without inviting almost certain injury problems into your team. Matt Crouch not that much more expensive with similar upside and no durability worries.

    • ass2mouthcabbage

      February 8, 2018 at 10:12 am

      Matt Crouch is 90k more…

  11. cal

    February 7, 2018 at 5:43 pm

    Lock

  12. Alvin

    February 7, 2018 at 6:34 pm

    Coniglio or B Crouch?

    • Alvin

      February 7, 2018 at 6:37 pm

      Or M Crouch

      • Ned kelly

        February 7, 2018 at 6:42 pm

        Brad crouch

        • Alvin

          February 7, 2018 at 6:45 pm

          How come? Could avg similar and Coniglio $63k cheaper

          • Ned kelly

            February 7, 2018 at 6:51 pm

            Better footballer always has been, just couldnt get continuity but no hes right to GO

      • Matt

        February 7, 2018 at 6:43 pm

        I’m going double Crouch with no Cogs.

  13. D35TROYA

    February 7, 2018 at 8:05 pm

    There goes my pod
    Thanks Matt lol

    • David C

      February 8, 2018 at 8:11 am

      He’s not a POD, everybody is looking at him.

      • D35TROYA

        February 8, 2018 at 11:38 am

        He only has 6% ownership how is that everybody looking at him? Lol

        • Ned kelly

          February 8, 2018 at 11:55 am

          Any real fantasy coach knows wat size his boots are

          • Hawk

            February 10, 2018 at 6:46 pm

            Check your ass dude, bet the print is still in their

  14. Jumping Jimmy Jess

    February 7, 2018 at 9:32 pm

    Another good article Matt. The Rabbit as I call him (Coniglio is rabbit in italian) is a gun player, one of those I have been considering but has competition. Time will tell

  15. Screech

    February 7, 2018 at 11:23 pm

    cog was a great pick in 2016. last year due to injury he sucked and j kelly took the mantle as the best dt mid for gws. to be honest, i know they play different positions but i dont think that status quo is going to change. j kelly also gets a whole heap of tackles even though he plays ore outside. cog can be handball happy too on occasion. something apart from his price has to convince me to pick him before r1…

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