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Inside the Numbers

Inside the Numbers Round 7 Wrap

Pete from aflratings.com.au goes inside the numbers after round seven.

Gold Coast are emerging as a significant stop for post Round 9 Bye fantasy options, last year they were ranked 16th averaging just 355.8 Disposals per game and have increased that by +60.2 to average 416.0 Disposals and be the top ranked team in the AFL after 7 games. Leading the way is the resurgent Gary Ablett who is averaging 32.0 Disposals and  118.6pts per game (131.2 Ave last 4 games), he did send a scare through owners in Round 6 after a shoulder knock but returned to action to finish with 120pts.

Each week there seems to be a cameo played by either Matera, Miller, Barlow etc but it seems as though Aaron Hall is likely the number 2 option at the Suns, his high ceiling is worth considering as reflected in a career high 156pts in Round 7 but his Round 5 score of 54pts may be a turn-off for some.

There may also be options at Port Adelaide for post Round 9 trades, surprisingly the Power are the highest scoring team averaging 1798.0 in the last 3 weeks. With more midfield time Chad Wingard has averaged 113.0pts from his last 3 games and with limited premium FWD options thus far in AFL Fantasy he could be a consideration.

Jasper Pittard at 1% ownership may also be worth a look for Defender upgrades, he is averaging 97.5pts after his late start to the year in Round 4. With another significant price drop just around the corner for Ollie Wines he will be heavily targeted by many coaches, whilst his recent average of 81.8pts (Rounds 4-7) is cause for concern there should be an upside to trading him in (Ave 116.3pts Rounds 1-3).


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Teams that have not recorded 400 Disposals in a game: Sydney, Richmond, Nth Melbourne & Carlton

Richmond is the lowest scoring team in the last 3 weeks (Ave: 1457.7)

Gold Coast has recorded 400+ Disposals in 4 of last 5 games (Ave: 435.4)

Round 7 Highest scoring Teams

1. Gold Coast 1903
2. Port Adelaide 1792
3. Fremantle 1787

Round 7 Lowest scoring Teams

18. Essendon 1427
17. Adelaide 1451
16. Collingwood 1483

Round 7 Highest Team Disposals

1. Gold Coast 445
2. Melbourne 430
3. Western Bulldogs 428

Round 7 Lowest Team Disposals

18. Essendon 330
17. Brisbane 341
16. Collingwood 345

Jack Billings scored an equal game high 116pts in Round 7, he has scored 100pts or more in 2 of his last 4 games

Tom Scully scored an equal game high 116pts in Round 7, he has averaged 100.0pts from his last 5 games

Jarrad Waite scored a career high 150pts in Round 7, he has averaged 123.8pts when kicking 5 Goals or more in his career

Matt Crouch scored a team high 116pts in Round 7, he has averaged 111.8pts from his last 5 games

Taylor Adams scored a game high 117pts in Round 7, he is averaging 121.0pts this season

Ed Curnow scored a team high 110pts in Round 7, he has scored 100pts or more in 4 of his last 5 games

Chad Wingard scored a career high 132pts in Round 7, he has averaged 113.0pts from his last 3 games

Elliot Yeo scored a team high 124pts in Round 7, he has scored 120pts or more in 3 of 7 games this season

Aaron Hall had a career high 156pts in Round 7, he has scored 100pts or more in 4 of 7 games this season

Mitch Duncan scored a team high 128pts in Round 7, he has scored 100pts or more in 6 of 7 games (Geelong Rank 1 Ave 117.3)

Lachie Hunter scored a game high 131pts in Round 7, he has scored 100pts or more in 5 of his last 16 games

Shaun Grigg scored a team high 108pts in Round 7, he has scored 100pts or more in 3 of his last 4 games

Tom Rockliff scored a game high 167pts (7th career highest) in R7, he has scored 120pts or more in 14 of his last 19 games

Lance Franklin scored a team high 133pts in Round 7, he has averaged 124.2pts when kicking 6 Goals or more in his career

Jack Viney scored a career high 145pts in Round 7, he is averaging 125.3pts when laying 10 Tackles or more over his career

Tom Mitchell scored a team high 136pts in Round 7, he has scored 120pts or more in 6 of 7 games this season

Brad Hill scored a career high 159pts in Round 7, it is only his 9th 100pt game over his 102 game career

Zach Merrett scored a team high 124pts in Round 7, he has scored 120pts or more in 11 of his last 16 games

 

Who Am I?

I am currently being played out of my normal position

I am likely to receive a DPP upgrade at Round 12

I am averaging just under 100pts this season

I am averaging more than 35.0pts this season compared to 2016

I am priced below $500K

I am owned by currently <1% & have a favourable BE of fewer than 50pts this week

It is likely my current scoring average will be maintained for at least the next 6 weeks

 

Answer: Best guess in the comments below

Good luck for Round 8

Pete is our numbers man. Covering all things Fantasy, DFS and betting through his website and social platforms, at aflratings.com.au, knowledge is everything.




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