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Jeppa’s Juniors – Round 17

Jeppa’s back from Bali and primed to give us more rookie analysis. An increase in the number of playing ‘juniors’ in Round 17 has Jeppa smiling so check out what he has to say plus a look at the status of some rookie sleepers yet to get a run in 2013.

jeppa_rd18It’s around this point every season where players are booked in for early surgery (Waters and Mitch Clark to date) and a few rooks on the fringe get a run. Rest assured that one or two players on the cusp will perform well at AFL level so if you need to make a couple more downgrades, relax, take a breath and read on because there are some healthy options this week for those willing to take a little punt.

Three-Or-More Gamers

KEEPERS

The only downside of Gary Ablett Jr’s match winning performance last Saturday night was that it somewhat overshadowed Jaeger O’Meara’s (MID, 129, $429,400 & BE 58) incredible game. We all knew O’Meara was going to be a star but I don’t think any of us expected him to be this good in his first year of senior footy. Jaeger had a lazy 23 touches, 7 marks, 8 tackles and 3 goals against one of the best midfields in the comp! What would have been if the Suns didn’t have the Round 13 bye? Most of us would probably still have him. Such is dreamteam.

Hot and cold Sam Dwyer (FWD/MID, 113, $345,500 & BE 26) continued his rollercoaster form this season but should go well against Giants this weekend. In the same game, Tom Nicholls (RUC, 99, $338,600 & BE 14) went to another level especially with his tap work. Nicholls’ meteoric rise this year poses a huge problem for the Gold Coast coaching staff next season if Zac Smith, Dixon and Nicholls are all vying for two spots. Don’t be surprised if the Giants or Dees go after Nicholls in a big way during the trade period.

A few weeks back @WarnieDT sent me a text and asked if Dawson Simpson (RUC, 101, $300,500 & BE -17) was the real deal? Regretfully, I told Warnie to look at other options…sorry mate. Simpson is a man mountain and he’s using his physical attributes to great effect on the footy field. 18 possessions, 6 marks, 2 tackles and 33 hitouts was enough to hit the ton for the third time in five games and there is no way Trent West and/or Nathan Vardy are taking his spot anytime soon. If you’re one of the 7,653 coaches that currently own him, well done.

Brent Staker (FWD/DEF, 92, $308,300 & BE 28) has averaged 87 in his last three games. Compare that to Bartel 70, Ibbotson 75 and Stokes 77. He’s spending most of his time forward but he does have the occasional run on the wing and stint in the backline. I suspect that he’ll be competitive again this weekend against Port at AAMI but I don’t expect anything higher than 75. Ultimately, Staker is the perfect defender/forward reserve and his DPP eligibility gives us more trade options each week so what ever you do, do not get rid of him.

Other notable performers from Round 17 include Josh Thomas (MID, 90, $347,800 & BE 98), Mark Hutchings (MID, 89, $345,100 & BE 19), Jack Fitzpatrick (RUC, 86, $276,600 & BE 79), Jackson Macrae (MID, 83, $341,300 & BE 66) and Brad Crouch (MID, 83, $380,700 & BE 54).

DON’T PANIC

Tom Mitchell (MID, 74, $388,900 & BE 63) is still a very good M9 so don’t worry too much about his lowest score for 2013. If you are considering trading Mitchell then please ensure that you have another backup mid that will average above 80.

TRADE, TRADE, TRADE            

As per usual, if I haven’t categorised a player from Round 17 under ‘Keepers’ or ‘Don’t Panic’ then trade them out as soon as you can.

Two Gamers

Mark Whiley (DEF, 72, $171,900 & BE 10) wore Heppell like a second skin on the weekend and to his credit he kept Essendon’s pin up boy very quiet and was named in the bests for the Giants for his efforts. Interestingly, with Whiley playing a tagging role, skinhead Toby Greene was allowed to roam free in the middle and in my opinion, it worked well for GWS. A notable stat for Whiley was his 12 tackles but he only finished with 72 dreamteam points. From here on in I doubt Whiley will average more than 6 tackles a game so expect about a 60 dreamteam score for the rest of the season. Coaches with deep pockets that are desperate for a rookie defender can take a punt on Whiley, personally I won’t be touching him. Nick O’Brien (FWD, 60, $165,900 & BE 12) also played the role of tagger and kept Giants’ playmaker Callan Ward to just 19 disposals while having 16 possessions of his own along with 1 mark, 3 tackles and a goal. At $165,900 O’Brien is far too expensive as a downgrade option not to mention that he’ll make way for Heath Hocking either this week or next. Pass.

Adam Carter (MID, 61, $102,700 & BE -53) is currently the most traded in rookie so far this week. I was at the game on Sunday and I watched Carter closely. He played at half back/back pocket on Brandon Jack and did his job. Carter found the footy early and was on 30 dreamteam points at quarter time but went missing for the remainder of the game. The Eagles are desperate for a running small defender and with finals unlikely, I suspect that they will give Carter a go but Sam Butler could spoil the party. Butler had 31 touches and 7 marks in the WAFL last weekend and may take Carter’s spot so just keep an eye on it. If Carter is named in the 22 for the Eagles on Friday afternoon then I’ll be jumping on board but he’ll be my M10…it would be a massive risk to bring him in as a M9.

Josh Hall (RUC, 39, $123,600 & BE -9) was subbed off in the last quarter after struggling to have an impact during the Suns big win over the Pies on Saturday night. Hall will be dropped this week for Charlie Dixon and/or Daniel Gorringe so don’t bother. If you’re looking for a ruck downgrade then look to DPP Liam McBean (FWD/RUC & $102,700) as a R4 and sneaky swap with Roughy, Cox etc when required.

Gerald Ugle (DEF, 29, $137,000 & BE 12) and Caolan Mooney (MID, 16, $108,500 & BE 17) are so far from it, I don’t understand how they’re getting a senior game. Stay away from these two.

One Gamers

Three of the four first gamers in Round 17 started the game in the green vest but there were a couple of notable performers in Tom Curren (MID, 38 & $108,500) and Mitchell Grigg (MID, 40 & $108,500).

Curren showed plenty of positives in his first game after coming on at the start of the third quarter. In a half of footy, playing on a wing, he had 4 kicks, 3 handballs, 1 mark, 2 tackles and a goal that almost pinched the game for the Saints. Curren’s greatest assets are his attack on the footy and his pace but his skills are pretty shabby. Last week, Scott Watters said that they’ll be playing the kids (source) but I’d still like to see what Curren produces from a full game before jumping on board.

Mitchell Grigg got his first run as a concussion substitute after fellow ‘junior’ Rory Laird copped a knock to the head from DT hero, turned villain, Jimmy Bartel. He was finally relieved of the green vest in third quarter and played as a half forward pushing up the ground. Grigg is quick, a great tackler and looks to have the footy smarts. He lacked a little poise and was a bit reactive at times but if I was Brenton Sanderson, I’d be pretty happy with his first game. Even with Kerridge, Jaensch and Petrenko killing it in the SANFL last weekend, I expect Grigg to feature in Round 18…after that, who knows.

Will Langford (DEF, 15 & $108,500) rotated between the forward pocket and midfield in his first AFL game. He’s tough but his disposal is very average. A return of 15 dreamteam points from a full game for a player in a Hawks team with great depth better be enough to scare you off. Harry Cunningham (MID, 10 & $102,700) is in a similar boat to Langford but he played less than a quarter for a return of 10 dreamteam points. With Rhys Shaw a likely inclusion this week, Morton knocking on the door and Ginger Ninja Gary Rohan a couple of weeks away, it’s a BIG NO on Cunningham.

Keep Your Eye On

Refer to my Round 15 article for a handful of untried rooks who I think will get a run in the second half of the season.

Please note that Nick Graham (MID & $102,700) was close to BOG in the VFL on the weekend after amassing 33 disposals and kicking a goal. Graham’s form has been strong for over a month now so expect a senior berth soon. Also, Daniel Currie (RUC & $102,700) has been best a field for Werribee two weeks in a row so don’t be surprised if Goldstein is finally rested against the Dees this weekend.

Got a question? Ask me on Twitter @JeppaDT

51 Comments

51 Comments

  1. Avatar

    Pettiger

    July 24, 2013 at 8:23 am

    Welcome back and good write up Jeppa. No downgrades for me this week as I am too busy keeping up with injuries and suspensions. Currie might come in next week for cash.

  2. Avatar

    Matt

    July 24, 2013 at 9:00 am

    Great article Jeppa, Sam Mayes should be considered a keeper at this point with a breakeven of about 30 I think.

    • Jeppa

      Jeppa

      July 24, 2013 at 2:39 pm

      Indeed. I have Mayes as my M9 and handy DPP switch…very important

  3. Avatar

    Edward

    July 24, 2013 at 9:07 am

    Great stuff Jeppa, very helpful! No downgrades for me this week but will be next week, so hopefully either Grigg or Curren can get a full game and look a decent option!

  4. Avatar

    Big Feller

    July 24, 2013 at 9:10 am

    Great work Jeppa.
    With Hanley to fix up I can’t afford to downgrade this week but I’ll look to upgrade Buddy to McBean next week and hopefully get better production out of him!

    • Avatar

      Damo

      July 24, 2013 at 2:08 pm

      upgrade Buddy to McBean? you sure mate?

    • Jeppa

      Jeppa

      July 24, 2013 at 2:40 pm

      I assume you mean downgrade. McBean is only handy if you have Cox, Nic Nat, Roughy to switch with

      • Avatar

        Simon

        July 24, 2013 at 5:51 pm

        I think he’s saying Buddy’s been so cr@p that McBean IS an upgrade. Not quite serious, but not far from it…

        • Avatar

          inthefog

          July 24, 2013 at 5:53 pm

          A zero on the bench is less painful/more useful than a 60 on the pitch. At least McBean won’t give you false hope!

  5. Graeme

    Graeme

    July 24, 2013 at 9:54 am

    I need a defensive downgrade for Goodes. Thinking Colqhoun or Webster. Thoughts?

    • Avatar

      Shags

      July 24, 2013 at 10:42 am

      Whiley

    • Avatar

      Danny

      July 24, 2013 at 12:34 pm

      Saunders, and is dpp, been getting the ball and is as tough as nails

      • Jeppa

        Jeppa

        July 24, 2013 at 2:44 pm

        I liked saunders game on the weekend. he showed hardness on the field and Watters will love that

    • Jeppa

      Jeppa

      July 24, 2013 at 2:42 pm

      Depends on your team structure but Colqhoun will give you more options each week with his DPP but I doubt him playing much more senior footy…he was poor on saturday night.

      On form, take a punt on Whiley?

      • Graeme

        Graeme

        July 24, 2013 at 5:11 pm

        Its supercoach and only have Clisby as backup otherwise. Happy with Saunders or Whiley if they have better JS. Whiley seems like a typical GWS though, will only be in one week and out the next.

  6. Avatar

    Clarke

    July 24, 2013 at 10:48 am

    Does anyone have any info on Kennedy from the Pies? I have kept him because of his DPP. But does not seem to be getting a game? B/E of 97

    • Avatar

      nectarios94

      July 24, 2013 at 12:55 pm

      Get rid of him as soon as possible, once he plays he’ll lose you about 40k which is not worth it. Cash on him now

    • Jeppa

      Jeppa

      July 24, 2013 at 2:46 pm

      Kennedy was BOG in the VFL on the weekend so unless you need the cash…hold but be prepared for a few green vests

  7. Avatar

    Kym

    July 24, 2013 at 1:52 pm

    Tks Jeppa!
    So if you had Goldy with Currie sitting on the bench, would you give Currie a run on the ground anf put Goldy on the pine, or move him on?

    • Jeppa

      Jeppa

      July 24, 2013 at 2:48 pm

      Hmmmm if Currie plays, He’ll prob get a 70 so if youre happy with that then start him. Do you have nicholls as a reserve instead?

  8. Avatar

    Kym

    July 24, 2013 at 3:19 pm

    Playing Nicholls as R2 at the moment; I have Roughy in the Fwd’s to cover Goldy if needed.
    Thanks for your reply and nice article…

  9. Avatar

    Crispi1

    July 24, 2013 at 3:34 pm

    cheers Jeppa, great article!
    I’m keen to get a bit of money in the bank for finals so is it a good idea to downgrade goodes and bartel>carter and curren over the next 2 weeks, and sit carter and curren at my m9 and m10 for the rest of the season?

    • Avatar

      Kym

      July 24, 2013 at 4:43 pm

      That doesn’t leave you with much cover in the mids!
      Maybe take a punt on one of them and upgrade M9 to a fallen premium…

    • Jeppa

      Jeppa

      July 25, 2013 at 3:15 pm

      Too risky Crispi IMO you need a titchell, mayes etc as M9

  10. Avatar

    Matt

    July 24, 2013 at 3:50 pm

    You didn’t mention Dell’Olio at all even though he’s slightly more expensive but still at a low price at 220k. He had his first game at Essendon and scored 101. I’m going to wait and see if he gets another game and if he does I’ll probably trade him in next round. Any thoughts?

    • Avatar

      Matt

      July 24, 2013 at 5:22 pm

      Should be looking at someone with better job security than Dell’Olio at this stage of the season,

    • Jeppa

      Jeppa

      July 25, 2013 at 3:16 pm

      Dell’Olio isnt in the best 22 at essendon so i wont be picking him up

  11. Avatar

    SpinDoctor

    July 24, 2013 at 4:15 pm

    Nick Graham is close to BOG every week… Bloody Mick. Play the youth!

    • Jeppa

      Jeppa

      July 25, 2013 at 3:16 pm

      Hopefully this week spindoctor

  12. Avatar

    Daniel

    July 24, 2013 at 4:24 pm

    No downgrades for me this week. Have to show Hanley the door, then upgrading Buddy to Jelwood via some DPP sorcery.

    Cheers for the update. Hope you enjoyed Bali.

  13. Avatar

    charlie

    July 24, 2013 at 5:08 pm

    does anyone know any cheap defenders that will prbably play this week
    im looking to downgrade goodes
    i was thinking about saunders

    • Jeppa

      Jeppa

      July 25, 2013 at 3:17 pm

      Saunders is a smart option. DPP but a little expensive. wont av more than 70 though

  14. Avatar

    Tom

    July 24, 2013 at 5:14 pm

    Hey Jeppa, great article mate! I’m stuck on who to field out of Mayes and Staker? Leaning towards Mayes.

    • Jeppa

      Jeppa

      July 25, 2013 at 3:18 pm

      Im in the same situation tom. Ill prob go Mayes. Staker can stink it up and I doubt he’ll kick too many goals against Port tall defenders.

  15. Avatar

    Elliott

    July 24, 2013 at 6:09 pm

    Great article Jeppa! Looking at a Forward line downgrade to generate a bit of cash, thinking Taberner is an option?

    • Jeppa

      Jeppa

      July 25, 2013 at 3:22 pm

      There are no FWD downgrade options at the moment. Troy Menzel is DPP and could get some games soon. DPP is the key and gives you more options. He’s the only one I’d recommend at this stage but look for downgrades elsewhere if you can.

  16. Avatar

    kelonwheels

    July 24, 2013 at 6:48 pm

    Thought Mark Hutchings deserved a bit more love being a Weagles man and all. Brought him in at $180k and he has got me an 85+avg and $160k in five games. He has outscored Titch in 4 of those last five games too. For me at the moment it looks like Titch is out next week or soon and Hutchings will remain my M9 until I milk someone else. Things might change though.

  17. Avatar

    kelonwheels

    July 24, 2013 at 6:50 pm

    Oh, see him in the notable performers, my bad…

  18. Avatar

    Flyn

    July 24, 2013 at 6:50 pm

    DEF: Goddard, Heppel, Enright, Gibbs, Terlich, Clisby (Hanley, Docherty)

    MID: Swan, Ablett, Pendlebury, Jack, Thompson, S. Mitchell, Fyfe, T. Mitchell (Arnot, Grigg)

    RUC: Cox, Kreuzer (O’hAilpin, Grimley)

    FWD: Riewoldt, Rockliff, Lewis, Cloke, Buddy, Lee (Bartel, Daniher)

    So far I’ve gone O’hAilpin > Naismith, and am now looking to do an upgrade.

    Should I get rid of thomo or spuddy? Don’t ask me why I have Thompson, this is my first year of dt and he was just a bad pick. I have enough for Barlow if I trade out thomo and enough for sj or dusty if I trade out buddy.

    Will also consider other suggestions. Cheers

  19. Jack

    Jack

    July 24, 2013 at 8:42 pm

    Nicholls or grimes on field

    • Jeppa

      Jeppa

      July 25, 2013 at 3:27 pm

      grimes

      • Jack

        Jack

        July 25, 2013 at 6:14 pm

        Thanks jeppa

  20. Brak

    Brak

    July 24, 2013 at 9:10 pm

    Thanks for the advice all year Jeppa.

    What do you think of Viney at M9? Brought him back in last week and currently have Tom Mitchell still at M8. Can go Mitchell to any Premo (Beams maybe) but will be a while before I can do any better than Viney & McKenzie on the bench as backup.

    • Jeppa

      Jeppa

      July 25, 2013 at 3:29 pm

      Viney as an M9 is ok but id feel more comfortable with Mitchell. Viney looked to have the fire in the belly against Bris last weekend. Tough call.

  21. Avatar

    Luke

    July 25, 2013 at 9:02 am

    Stuck.. Who to get??? Enright or Malceski??

    • Avatar

      Mundy Mundy

      July 25, 2013 at 4:14 pm

      Ricky Henderson, cheaper low be, I traded in for goodes

  22. Avatar

    PortPower

    July 25, 2013 at 3:19 pm

    Is Carter a good downgrade from Dalziell, so I can upgrade Titch to Beams? Would have to put Hrovat at M9

  23. Jeppa

    Jeppa

    July 25, 2013 at 3:29 pm

    Hrovat and carter as backups wont get u much when there is a late omission.

    • Avatar

      PortPower

      July 25, 2013 at 3:32 pm

      Yeah was thinking that thanks mate

  24. Avatar

    Jake Taylor

    July 25, 2013 at 5:19 pm

    Should I play Mayes or Tippet?

  25. gambler

    gambler

    July 25, 2013 at 9:51 pm

    Hey Jeppa, would you get in for Bartel? Fwd line is Stevie J, Rocky, Martin, Roughie, JJK, Bartel

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