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The Friday Scramble

The Friday Scramble: Round 17

As we run out of trades we also have less scrambling that we can do. However, there are still decisions to be made and issues to discuss. So join me as we head into round 17 and lockout looms on us…

I don’t think there has been a bigger week in football lately but geez has it been big.  Not only for what happened on the field (or didn’t) but also for what happened off it. I understand that Carlton have sent Juddy down to the farm to spend some time with Chook to learn how to properly take care of a chicken wing.  Let’s hope he comes back better for the experience.

Quick… call Colonel Sanders… STAT!

Of course the biggest issue was that a lot of people had traded Juddy in last week as he started to hit some form!  His average of 115 over his last 3 and his general game play was showing us that he was getting back to the form he showed us in the first 3 rounds where he averaged 117 before fall ing into a slump that saw him average just 79.75 from rounds 4 through to 12.  If you got him in then 4 weeks at this time of year is an eternity, particularly if you are still carrying Buddy and Waters on your benches…..WAIT STOP THE PRESSES  What is this$#*$& WATERS IS BACK!!!!!!. Well, that will help but you will still have Buddy to carry on the forward line.  However, you now have Broughts to carry on your backline bench rather than having Waters on the bench, that is if you are unlucky enough to still have him…. like me

Given that Judd won’t return until after the first week of DT finals and it is quite conceivable that his side will be out of contention for the real finals at that stage (sorry Roy) then it may be that he has turned off the after burners and just cruises through those last 3 weeks of the season.  If you have the trades available I think you would use one in this situation, particularly if you are struggling to make the 8 in your league.  Luckily he has a bit of value at $418,500.  So you should be able to trade him to a good player.  Some you could consider would be Marc Murphy who is only $406k or you could go up to Josh Kennedy at $422k.  Personally I would be going to Murph.  However, if you have got some cash then you will be able to go up higher in the price range to Carrots at $437k.

Don’t Double Up and make a Mistake!

Now I reckon that this is going to be a familiar story throughout a lot of DT teams.  You have made a trade to a new player… let’s take Matty Suckling for example fromBeau Waters last week.  Only to have Suckers do exactly that and only return you a 31 point dividend.  The worst thing that you can do is to now look at trading Suckling out and go back to Waters.

Let’s face it, you got this guy in for a reason, he is a proven scorer.  31 is his worst return for the year with the next worse being a 70.  He only has 3 tons but has 5 scores of 80+ and the rest are in the 70’s.  Consistency is generally what you get from him.  I understand that he was in a lock down role on Sunday and this isn’t what he normally does.

Quite simply, if you have made a call on a guy and he has had a bad week the one that you picked him up, well just wear it on the chin and get on with it.  Trades are far too valuable to be chopping and changing now.  Who knows whether or not the guy you trade to from here is not going to do the same thing.

To trade back to Waters now it will mean that you have used two trades and have the same guy!!

 The second coming of Lazurus!

For the second time this year we have had one of our players rise from the dead and come back after 1 week when they were advertised to be out for more than 4 weeks.  Earlier in the year we had Heath Scotland come back and score well upon his return.  Now after hearing that Beau Waters would be out for 4-6 many of us traded him out and as a result burnt one of our valuable trades.  But we all followed the correct formula which is that if they are listed to be out for at least 4 weeks then you have to trade them.  Now this would be fine …. if the teams would just be honest with us!!!

If you were one of the ones that traded him out, don’t despair. We simply don’t know how he has pulled up yet so we will need to see that.  But don’t trade him back in unless you have 6+ trades left or get another LTI in the backlines or if you have Broughts and he is giving you the sh*ts.  And when he isn’t named he can still annoy the cr#p out of you givenSam Shaw is also out this week which may mean that you don’t have any bench cover.

Things to Remember

  • Get On Board with the Pirate! – If you missed last week he is back to his AAARRRGGGing best and picked a couple of winners for you.
  • Play Zorko on the field – I made the mistake of not doing it a few weeks back and will never make that mistake again.
  • Don’t rest players if you think you will win easy – Richmond did it and look what happened to them (Sorry Douth… couldn’t resist it)
  • Conserve Trades– Just remember there are another 7 weeks of DT left (cause we are all making the GF aren’t we!) so don’t trade unnecessarily.  If we have learnt anything this year it is that LTI’s and long suspensions are the norm not the exception!

As we draw closer to the end and we start running out of trades we are all having less scrambling to do… not that we don’t want to, we just can’t!!  Hopefully you have gotten yourself far enough up the ladder in your league to not have to worry about having only a few trades left.

And with the outs at the selection table you won’t have much in the way of bench cover so hopefully you have enough players to make a squad.

Good luck this week, hopefully a win this week will secure you a top 8 position.  Apologies for the shorter scramble this week.  Work and home renovations have meant that I am struggling for time a touch this week, but I will be back to full strength next week.

Catch me in the Twittertown @pkd73

135 Comments

135 Comments

  1. Tyler

    July 20, 2012 at 2:15 pm

    im struggling to make the eight, i need to win all of my last three matches to make it, im looking at copping a doughnut in my forward line with no buddy, patton or kennedy, should i trade out magner to couch and then swap kennedy with couch to save the doughnut
    PLEASE HELP

    • Luke

      July 20, 2012 at 4:15 pm

      Yeah get couch to save the donut. Does depend how many trades you have left. But no point in having trades if you dont make finals.

  2. Ryan

    July 20, 2012 at 2:18 pm

    @ austin haha yea its my first year. I just aim for 2000 score each week. Last round i got 2350+ which was good but mostly i am around the 2k mark.

  3. riley

    July 20, 2012 at 2:24 pm

    What to do u think about this, Hawthorn try to restrict influence on Pendles, Beamer and Swanny. This could let Sidebottom off the leash and be a good captain choice?

    • Andrew

      July 20, 2012 at 2:58 pm

      According to Sewell, Hawthorn won’t be doing any tagging

      • riley

        July 20, 2012 at 3:25 pm

        So you reckon any of them

  4. Killuminati

    July 20, 2012 at 2:25 pm

    Good read Dunny as always. Sitting 4th in main league and 4 trades left with 102k, my team atm looks like this

    D: Lids, Scotland, Goddard, Birchall, Sucking, Hep D, Carrots(Ellis,Spurr)
    M: Ablett, Beams, Rockwiz, Boyd, Pendles, Thommo(Gibson, Treloar)
    R: Cox, Maric(Redden, Big O)
    F: Franklin, sidebottom, Stevie J, Danger, Martin, Robbo, Zorko(McIntyre, Smedts)

    I’m thinking of
    1.trading Treloar to Murphy next week leaving me with 3 trades and no cash, leaving Martin as reliable cover for Fwds and Mids
    2. Trading in Swan with 2 trades and the same scenario above
    Thoughts and opinions appreciated

    • crispy

      July 20, 2012 at 2:43 pm

      I would try to get Swan. Right now if possible. You could trade Treloar and Martin or Danger out (these are strong selections but the weakest of your FWDs, shift Beams into the FWD line and then bring in Swan and maybe Couch.

      This leaves you with $100k odd in the bank, an extra 30-50 points per week for having Swan over Martin/Danger and Couch will be just as reliable for cover as Treloar.

      It hurts to dump Martin after holding him for his suspension but it’s the price you pay for getting Swan. The trade will guarantee you extra points every week and it’s very likely your opponent has Swan too.

      It’s a luxury trade but I wouldn’t hesitate seeing as you have 4 trades left.

      • Killuminati

        July 20, 2012 at 4:34 pm

        Thanks but with buddy out for a few weeks I don’t like the prospect of playing couch or Treloar over Martin

        • crispy

          July 20, 2012 at 4:41 pm

          Just a suggestion! I would be breaking rules to get Swan at this point in the season

        • crispy

          July 20, 2012 at 4:43 pm

          Swan + Couch is better than Martin + McIntyre/Smedts/Treloar

          • Killuminati

            July 20, 2012 at 5:37 pm

            Wouldn’t it be swan&couch with 100k vs swan&Martin with no cash- and 2 trades left for both scenarios

  5. Jerome

    July 20, 2012 at 2:34 pm

    what do you think of my ladder & finals predictions.

    ps. dont know who is in the grand final–too hard to decide.

    http://www.afl.com.au/bailey%20ladder%20predictor/tabid/13046/default.aspx

    • Jerome

      July 20, 2012 at 2:39 pm

      sorry that failed but i could have two scenarios:
      hawthorn vs west coast & sydney vs collingwood
      OR
      sydney vs west coast & hawthorn vs collingwood

      ps. these are for prelim finals, if it turns out right. sydney and west coast continue the rivalry and collingwood and hawthorn continue theirs.
      potential crackers of games

  6. Gazinator

    July 20, 2012 at 2:35 pm

    Friggen Buddy Franklin… In more trouble…

    You can add 1-2 more weeks onto his turn around time…

    • Slappers

      Slappers

      July 20, 2012 at 3:32 pm

      i doubt he will get any time for that…

      he will get a slap on the wrist.

      • Luke

        July 20, 2012 at 4:01 pm

        they should suspend him for the next 2 weeks!!

  7. Slappers

    Slappers

    July 20, 2012 at 2:41 pm

    1 trade this week…. old mac – couch…

    saves me a donut… also leaves me with 2 trades and 216k in bank…

    have ryder and no cover… that my only donut…

    still predicted to win in the 2 leagues i care about…

  8. Aidan

    July 20, 2012 at 2:55 pm

    GWS are the first team to update their Sunday team. Their changes are as follows:

    In: Aylett, Bruce, Bugg, Giles, Miles, Townsend, Ugle, Whiley, Hoskin-Elliot and Frost

    Outs: Cameron (Back), Darley (EMG), Edwards (EMG), Patton, Conigilio (Back), Adams, Smith, Brogan
    (Rested), Cornes (Rested), Kennedy (Illness)

    Emergencies: Darley, Edwards and Phillips

    • Slappers

      Slappers

      July 20, 2012 at 3:19 pm

      wtf… darley should be on the playing list each week.. he does well every week…

      • Aidan

        July 20, 2012 at 3:24 pm

        Lucky for me that Townsend is playing. With Shaw and Darley out I immediatly though ‘Great a donut’ untill I saw Townsend was named

        • Slappers

          Slappers

          July 20, 2012 at 3:28 pm

          yer i got spurr as cover… but only if waters is a late withdraw

          • Aidan

            July 20, 2012 at 3:49 pm

            U got two playing defenders on the bench?

  9. Slappers

    Slappers

    July 20, 2012 at 3:31 pm

    boyd, rocky, lids, stanton as captain?

    tempted by ROK… vs saints… at SCG…

    • Luke

      July 20, 2012 at 3:36 pm

      boyd is a gun week in week out just about. Wish i had him.

  10. the king

    July 20, 2012 at 3:39 pm

    Waters ffs… I’d like to know how a five week injury becomes a one week injury, traded him out for that crab M Johnson last week. The lack of transparency in the AFL this year has been a disgrace, and with players being rested et al I think the rules of DT need to be changed drastically to reflect the modern football landscape. I’m talking at least 30 trades like they have in the NRL, because I’d guess there’d barely be 20,000 players still actively engaged in AFL DT at this time of the year.

    • MrCharisma

      July 20, 2012 at 3:52 pm

      I’d be happy with a few extra players like they did last year. Would have been a massive help.

      • Luke

        July 20, 2012 at 4:08 pm

        Yeah 3 bench players would be good rather than extra trades. Having extra trades would make the original selection of your team less crucial.

  11. MrCharisma

    July 20, 2012 at 3:43 pm

    Forced to using my last two trades. =(

    Outs this week…
    Brougton, Shaw, Clarke, Hargrave, Waters still a possibility
    Williams, Adams,
    Ryder, T Campbell, Redden,
    Franklin, Pfeiffer

    No good players in that list but still.

    • Luke

      July 20, 2012 at 4:04 pm

      Save your trades for when it matters!

  12. C.J Heat

    July 20, 2012 at 3:43 pm

    Whats wrong with Tim Mohr

    • Luke

      July 20, 2012 at 4:03 pm

      He’s a bear!

    • C.J Heat

      July 20, 2012 at 4:09 pm

      ???????????????????? is he too busy to play because he is stealing picanic baskets all day. U can see in his face that he is a bear

    • C.J Heat

      July 20, 2012 at 4:10 pm

      No but seriosly is he injured

  13. Harper

    July 20, 2012 at 3:56 pm

    ok, I admit I need help, and especially from Hawks supporters.
    I know Yaz, and that anything could happen. D’ya reckon I should go with Suckling to do better, or Yaz to score well again this week?

    I am still unsure. either could do well or badly.

    • Luke

      July 20, 2012 at 4:02 pm

      suckers for sure.

      • Harper

        July 20, 2012 at 4:10 pm

        ta Luke. :-)

  14. Jayden

    July 20, 2012 at 4:17 pm

    Def: Lids,Heppell,Goddard,Scotland,Carrots,Suckling,Birchall (Ellis, Darley)
    Mid; Ablett,Swan,Boyd, Stanton,Priddis,Pendles.(Gibson,Couch)
    Ruck: Goldy,Giles(Redden,Campbell)
    Forward: Sidey,Beams,Robbo,Johnson,Dangerfield,Martin,Zorko(Franklin,Dickson)

    3 Trades left with also 193k.

    Thoughts???

    • pies2012

      July 20, 2012 at 4:23 pm

      u need to do something by the time franklin comes back. u need to downgrade a fwd and upgrade someone. Coz u dont want zorko sitting on ur bench!

      • Gazinator

        July 20, 2012 at 4:35 pm

        Anyone think that with Franklin possibly receiving a club imposed sanction he will be out for atleast 3-4 weeks now? (injury + sanction)

    • Waffles

      July 20, 2012 at 4:40 pm

      Giles to premo mullet sauce Jacobs Mcevoy etc

    • flying high

      July 20, 2012 at 5:14 pm

      Nice Team, mines like the same but i got more trades and scott thompson instead of priddis.

      DONT downgrade. you have enough money. When there is a doughnut in you team use couch to move ur players around and cover the 0 with one of you premiums.

      You will have to finish the year choosing which player to play each week, although with resting players and injuries this will advantage you coming into finals.

      Trade Giles -> Cox. Maric is risky as Hardwich says he is a “week to week proposition” I think Cox is going to be your best trade.

      Save your last trade for finals… gl

    • Dusty#4

      July 20, 2012 at 5:20 pm

      Upgrade Redden to someone and play him or giles

  15. Tom

    July 20, 2012 at 5:12 pm

    Adams and Pfeiffer out, why isn’t A.Kennedy (my bench cover) playing?

    FMDT

  16. mcbain

    July 20, 2012 at 7:24 pm

    Help!

    Option 1: Trade Hargraves out for H. Shaw/Hanley, Grimes, Adcock.? Would leave me with 3 trades and 60-90k… If i went H Shaw – I’d have 82k.

    Current Def: Lids, Gods, Scotland, Birchall, Carrazzo, Heppell, Hargraves – (Darley Brown)

    or

    Option 2: trade M Williams/ZSkinner out for Goodes/Crouch – which will add extra depth to both mid/fwd with dpp… will leave me with 2 trades left and no cash…

    Any advice would be much appreciated…

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