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Good Trade, Bad Trade: Rd 8

Well, round 7 was an absolute belter of a round with the par score around a massive 2200 points. The trades are flying hard and fast (in a Tony Greig voice) at this point of the season, and people are starting to get what they consider a ‘set’ team to have a crack at league glory or for a select few the FJ. What trades will get you there? Well, me or my crystal ball doesn’t know but it’s sure as hell good fun to discuss!

Well, round 7 was an absolute belter of a round with the par score around a massive 2200 points. The trades are flying hard and fast (in a Tony Greig voice) at this point of the season, and people are starting to get what they consider a ‘set’ team to have a crack at league glory or for a select few the FJ. What trades will get you there? Well, me or my crystal ball doesn’t know but it’s sure as hell good fun to discuss!

Spurr of the moment?

This week,  general consensus in dream team communities (and assistant coach stats) is trading young tiger Brandon Ellis to mature Docker Lee Spurr. Ellis got the attack of Scorpion ( I don’t care what others say chook, I’m gonna keep it going) and pumped out a paltry 6, putting a halt in his dream team cash production quicker than David Cloke shops around Travis Cloke for more dollars. Ellis has already leaked $21,200 last week and with a b/e of 82, is due to leak another $13,500 so now appears the time to jump ship. For the first time this season, there is a back line rookie that is on the bubble,and is actually worth considering and this man is Lee Spurr. Lee Spurr looked at home on the half back line, amassing 20 disposals and 6 marks for 69 points and now has a b/e of -21 and projected increase $26,900. Something to consider with Spurr is that he only has played GC and Port so may not look as home against the better teams like Hawthorn and West Coast (ironically, the teams he plays next. Job security wise, he is keeping veteren Antoni Grover and Alex Silvagni out of the team so has a chance to keep playing and earn some cash.

Is this a good trade?  Well you make $104,100 on the trade, which isn’t great money, but Spurr does have more cash generation in the interim. Is it worth a trade? In my opinion, no.  I see Rd 13 rookies like Ellis and Morris as keepers until this round, when they can be traded to rd 11 or 12 players to reduce the amount of donuts. With all the gun rd 13 backmen, flexibility will be the key to successfully navigate the bye rounds.

Looking upwards, an extra $200k or so will get you gun premos who have bottomed out such as Shaw ($421k), Goddard and Suckling ($417,000) Birchall ($398,000)  and Waters ($393,000). There are players from each round to suit any structure needs and with other rooks with great job security, upgrading at this time of the season may turn out to be more profitable than the cull.

Well, short and sweet this week, are you jumping on the Spurr wagon? or will you just hold the trades for future cows and sacrifice a bit of cash? Discuss it all here!

Any feedback much appreciated on @jimbobholder on the twitterverse

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

FMDT.




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