Dream Team Stock Market – R3
It’s @Aki_DT here and I am proud to be bringing back my baby, the Dream Team Stock Market. The one stop shop for all the money making and saving you will need to do in season 2012 to build your car winning side! Forget everything you’ve been contemplating this week, revert those trades you made on Monday night, put the dramas or triumphs of the first two weeks behind you and have a read of the #DTSM before you make those vital decisions leading into Round 3. Let’s go.
It’s back! Bigger and better than ever. The #DTSM (Dream Team Stock Market), is your one stop shop, for pretty much, well, everything! Dream Team might have the Assistant Coach (for $19.95), but the Assistant Coach doesn’t have me (free of course) or twitter (also free) or have a crystal ball (umm, working on that part).
For those of you new to the Dream Team Stock Market, quite simply, it’s the bees neez when it comes to working out and deciding how to make money for your dream team and speed up the process in which you raise your salary cap to create the competitions ultimate side! Remember, at the start of the year, players (besides LTI’s, rookies or players returning from Ireland) are valued at how they performed last season. You spend the money, you are banking on that player to perform to that value. The more money you have to spend, the more money you have to spend on players that are performing! That’s why it is so important to know when to jump off a player that has peaked and jump on someone at a lower than valued price.
Before I begin, here is the DTSM guide to building a winner.
Rookies: Your rookies MUST be playing. With the exception for 1, maybe 2 (but those 1 or 2 must be looking at a game very soon, Eg. Tom Couch) Your rookies need to be running around early and gaining in value. If you missed out on picking them up at the start of the year, trade them in ASAP. You must. You need to be making money early or you will be left behind. Eg. Curnow and Liberatore last season.
Premiums: The old back your premiums in philosophy. You didn’t spend all pre-season analysing every last detail of the guys you are going to start with. So don’t over analyse them based off 2 rounds alone. Unless they have lost an arm or been decapitated (with the exception of Joel Selwood), back them in! Especially if they are already a proven DT performer. Sideways trades are a waste if there is no injury involved.
The mid-priced players. Ok, this is very hit and miss and does involve large testicles or for the ladies, large… anyways. You have to make a call on them, and early. If they are sucking the life out of your team and dropping in price like there is no tomorrow, it will hurt you in the long run, especially if they never recover in value. If your gut says they aren’t going to live up to expectations, see you later, trade them out. If you believe they will eventually come good, hold onto them for the long run (Eg. Jack Grimes, Brian Lake). Lost value is lost scoring ability. It’s your call.
The unique pick: So you are a genius and picked an absolute jet and kept it on the down low only for this jet to crash and burn with a score that looks like something at a soccer game. Swallow your pride and move them on. Or if you are lucky, watch them become the highest traded in player in Round 3. Hurts doesn’t it.
Here we go….
TOP 10 – BUY, BUY, BUY.
1. James Magner (MID) $85,800 – B/E: -153 AVG: 104
Let’s face it, if you don’t have the “Magnet” in your midfield, you need to walk into your garage, find a hammer and batter yourself stupid. Or a less painful option, would be to trade him into your side, NOW! He has been a shining light in a very dim start to season 2012 for the Demons. Look’s set to sky-rocket $104,000 if he cracks another ton this week.
Possible stock rise: $405,000
2. Toby Greene (MID) $134,700 – B/E: -118 AVG: 103
Want to cash up? Of course you do, that’s why you are here. Currently have Dom Tyson, Stephen Coniglio or Dylan Shiel? Well say goodbye and cash in. Greene looks poised, clean and ready for a big year. Is his job security solid? Only time will tell but thats the risk with most rookies. Hopefully his value will soar before he is told he is having a “rest”. Expect Mr Greene to pump his stocks up by $90,000 if he also cracks another ton!
Possible stock rise: $340,000
3. Adam Kennedy (MID/FWD) $104,200 – B/E: -120 AVG: 94
Firstly I believe Adam Kennedy should be number 47, not 40. I could give him my own little nickname of AK47. But that’s not the case, so anyways… He has looked very assuring and a safe pick for your DT. 1st round 116 was super impressive and somehow managed to claw out a 70+ in the loss to North this week in a very lop-sided game in Hobart. On target for a $86,000 rise if he reaches his projected score (which is his average) of 94. Up against the Eagles this week so don’t count your chickens yet, but will have a huge rise none the less.
Possible stock rise: $330,000
4. Jonathon Giles (RUC) $117,800 – B/E: -104 AVG: 90
141,000 teams have him already. Need I really go on? Is the number 1 ruckman at GWS ahead of Dean Brogan. Pushes forward and kicks the odd goal which we all like our ruckman to do and gets involved around the ground. Will push the $80,000 rise if sneaks over 90 again this week. Regardless, he should be in your team anyways!
Possible stock rise: $310,000
5. Terry Milera (FWD) $115,800 – B/E: -84 AVG: 79
Another one to sneak under the rookie radar. Milera has been in the best players both weeks for the Saints this year and I don’t see him losing his spot on that half-forward line either. His market value should rise $66,000 this week alone! I rate him highly.
Possible stock rise: $250,000
6. Thomas Bugg (DEF) $104,200 – B/E: -86 AVG: 77
My personal pick of the bunch (after Magner). This kid looks good! Even did a great job at shutting down (as best as he could) Brent Harvey after Boomer went ballistic early against the Giants. Even with a score of 70 again this week should go up $65,000 or so in value. Looks a ready-made AFL player and if I was Sheeds, I’d leave him in all year.
Possible stock rise: $250,000
7. Devon Smith (FWD/MID) $121,200 – B/E: -62 AVG: 70
Another of the GWS DPP’s. Smith, similar to Kennedy has looked solid out there. Needs to post a 100+ to really get his rolling average moving along nicely. Should have a nice little $50,000 rise in price this week. But so much more room for improvement! Could break out even more.
Possible stock rise: $210,000
8. Rhys Stanley (FWD) $164,200 – B/E: -67 AVG: 87
Bit of a dark horse here, only 6500 teams currently have him in their squad! A little more pricey than the others, but is delivering over 85 points per game, good return! $50,000 rise in value this week is on the cards with a 60. The ceiling for Stanley could be a lot higher than a few of the ones mentioned previously but as his starting price is higher also, it evens out. Be a unique and handy player none the less. Pass for me.
Possible stock rise: $135,000
9. Clay Smith (MID) $107,700 – B/E: -62 AVG: 66
If anyone watched the Bulldogs Rd1 match against the Eagles, they would know this kid is something special. Kicked 4 goals on debut and was subbed off late in 3rd for 79. Worth holding onto until he gets full games under his belt and can start pumping out some larger scores. This week should jump $50,000 odd. Not bad for being subbed off twice and with that alone, its a risk you take.
Possible stock rise: $200,000
10. Jeremy Cameron (FWD) $104,200 – B/E: -51 AVG: 59
Had a great individual game last week vs North. Also this weeks R2 Rising Star Nomination (congrats). One of a very few targets up forward for GWS so is sure to get ample opportunities to get some high scores. If you are unsure on a few of your rookie forwards, Cameron would be a great choice to ease your mind. Roughly $45,000 increase this week. Bargain.
Possible stock rise: $175,000
TOP 10 – SELL, SELL, SELL.
1. Andrew Embley (MID) $465,000 – B/E: 253 AVG: 34
Not the greatest of starts to the year for Embley. The 1170 people that have him, do yourself a favour! Might be a handy unique later in the year, but I think his DT value is at zero right now. Did I mention he is out for up to 12+ weeks with a shoulder injury? Yep, double whammy. Unlucky Andrew.
Set to plummet: $70,000 this week.
2. Jordan Russell (DEF) $352,400 – B/E: 179 AVG: 25
The green vest must make Jordan feel sick. The fact you had Jordan in your side to start with, makes me sick. “He is a great unique pick” – words you will never hear any smart DT coach say. Trade or delete your team.
Set to plummet: $55,000 this week.
3. Corey Enright (DEF) $454,600 – B/E: 196 AVG: 50
A very slow start to the year for Enright could be a blessing in disguise later on. For those that have him, it’s a big call to make, but i would stick with him. For those that don’t, he might be a very handy inclusion in a 5-6 weeks time. The guy is a star and like a few people, just slowly winding himself into the new year. Watch closely.
Set to plummet: $50,000 this week.
4. Robin Nahas (FWD) $415,700 – B/E: 174 AVG: 48
Nahas hasn’t set the DT scene ablaze this year. He did give us glimpses last year of the game breaking ability he possesses, but is way too up and down for my liking. To be fair, the first 5 rounds for the Tigers are tough going (cough, Dustin Martin), so I think we will see a vast improvement in a month or so’s time. Sell or Pass for now.
Set to plummet: $45,000 this week.
5. Heath Shaw (DEF) $454,000 – B/E: 174 AVG: 61
Shaw or Not Shaw? If at Round 1 Heater was in your side, you hold onto him! If not, you don’t go there, yet… Pies have been unable to free up the likes of Shaw as much as they want. But they soon will, trust me (famous last words). Once things begin to click, the Pies have a few players return and Bucks’ game plan starts to show signs of, well, anything, Shaw will start pumping out some decent scores. Has also just re-signed with the Magpies. Could explode this week against arch rivals Carlton.
Set to plummet: $40,000 this week.
6. Travis Boak (MID) $426,300 – B/E: 164 AVG: 57
At his price, an average of 57 is a disaster. The guy can play, no question, but unless you want to go bankrupt in your midfield and be stuck with Boak for DT eternity, cash out.
Set to plummet: $40,000 this week.
7. Todd Goldstein (RUC) $491,600 – B/E: 193 AVG: 63
The “MacGold” combo at North is great for the Kangaroos. Not so great for Dream Teamers. Cash out now. So many other options for your ruck at this stage. Might be worth a look later this year, but not for me.
Set to plummet: $39,000 this week.
8. Brad Green (FWD) $383,900 – B/E: 150 AVG: 50
There had to be a Melbourne forward on the list, and poor Greeny is the one to cop it. I think Melbourne have only had the ball inside their 50, 7 times this year (ok, so im exaggerating a little bit). Brad has not really had much of a chance to shine. Be an interesting option if his price continues to plummet. Keep an eye on but for now, no no no.
Set to plummet: $39,000 this week.
9. Greg Broughton (DEF) $416,200 – B/E: 162 AVG: 66
Ahhh Greg. If you’re like me, you probably just punched a hole in your monitor looking at his name. I am a Broughton fan, but I am also a very frustrated one. With the lack of defensive options at this stage, you would be brave to trade him out this week as he could also erupt with a 120+. You would also be braver to hold onto him as he seems to be playing a lockdown role that struggles to crack 50 points, that is the dilemma. If anything, give Ross Lyon a call and tell him to stop being such a muppet and to throw Mr Broughton into the midfield, like he did in the preseason! I still expect big things, I just don’t know if we can wait it out anymore.
Set to plummet: $30,000 this week.
10. Michael Barlow (MID) $424,800 – B/E: 158 AVG: 59
Ahhh Mr Barlow. I couldn’t leave this bloke out and would normally be on the Watch-List Category (once values start to change it will be back). He is averaging 59 and has started as the sub, twice. Hopefully, you haven’t started the year with him, but if you have, you have to back him in. This bloke WILL be HUGE. He is just a ball magnet. Once he is ready to run out full games, he would be one of the first picked in most midfields, without a doubt. Keep an eye on DTSM for the right time to throw the money at him and pick up a bargain. Round 6 vs the Gold Coast might be an ideal time…
Set to plummet: $36,000 this week.
Hope this is a good guide first up from the Dream Team Stock Market. It will chop and change during the year but this is ground zero to kick the year off. No-one has gained or dropped in value yet so it’s vitally important you start the year off on a good note. If you want me to take a look a specific player or need to find a way to sneak a player in, get hold of me on twitter @Aki_DT and hashtag #DTSM. I’ll do my best to cover a few in this article or might even be able to solve your troubles via Twitter!
Big shout out to @TeeTeeDT for taking the reigns last year while I took a nice holiday. Great work and thanks mate.