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The Long Road Home: Forwards

In the last of four articles on the long road home, I look at the Forwards. Those annoying guys that will score huge points one week, followed by a dismal effort as they sit in the forward pocket and have a cry that people play too rough.

  • Rick

The Long Road Home: Forwards

In the last of four articles on the long road home, I look at the Forwards. Those annoying guys that will score huge points one week, followed by a dismal effort as they sit in the forward pocket and have a cry that people play too rough. It’s the moment we’ve been waiting for, where the age old question will be answered. Is Adam Goodes really the last half of the season machine everyone says?

So, which of your players will come home strong, and who should you be looking at to fill out your team?

Bradburys

The guys who come home strong.

  Ave for Rounds 1-11 Ave for Rounds 12-22 Difference
A Goodes 92 111 +19
C Sylvia 89 105 +16
A Didak 93 107 +14
L Franklin 83 95 +12
B Harvey 88 96 +8
C Rioli 80 86 +6

It’s true, the guy is a machine. Like a cylon in Battlestar Galactica, something switched on in this guy’s head and turns him into an absolute jet. Adam Goodes lifts his average by a whopping 19 points in the last half of the year. I guess this raises another question though. Why the hell can’t he play like that for the whole year? Big mentions to Sylvia, Didak and Franklin who also tear it up in the last half of the season. Maybe the forward is where we should be looking to upgrade for the run home?

Lay Down Sallies

The guys who drop off when the going gets tough.

Ave for Rounds 1-11

Ave for Rounds 12-22

Difference

P Chapman

129

111

-18

S Johnson

100

92

-8

S Higgins

89

80

-9

N Riewoldt

108

103

-5

While Goodes is a machine in the last half of the season, Chapman seems to turn into a cream puff. His average drops nearly as much as Goodes’ goes up. He still averages over 100 though, so is worth having if you can put up with his sookie la la weeks off. Stevie J joins Ablett, Bartel and Chappy as another Cat who hangs up the boots early, so they can prepare for finals. Ablett’s in a new side now, so things may be different, but the others are a concern.

Who would have thought Higgins would be in the list of Lay Down Sallies? OK, everyone did. Time to go Higgins!

Steve Moneghettis

The guys who keep it steady from start to finish.

Ave for Rounds 1-11

Ave for Rounds 12-22

Difference

R O’Keefe

90

93

+3

B Green

95

97

+2

J Riewoldt

80

79

-1

M Pavlich

95

92

-3

Ryan O’Keefe is a roller coaster week to week, but like Heath Shaw, tends to keep his overall average pretty steady for the year. Brad Green is coming into form and the stats above indicate he should be pretty consistent with that for the rest of the year. J-Roo and Pav drop off slightly, but are still pretty consistent overall.

So that ends “The Long Road Home”, looking at premium players and upgrade targets across all positions and whether or not they can put you in the seat of a brand new Cruiser. If there are any forwards that you’d like looked at, let me know in the comments, and I’ll check them out.

63 Comments

63 Comments

  1. Jimmy 09

    June 9, 2011 at 8:20 am

    first

    • bigdawg

      June 9, 2011 at 10:26 am

      Shut up you dirty c**t

      • Jimmy 09

        June 9, 2011 at 2:58 pm

        no.

    • RedNBlackAttack

      June 9, 2011 at 8:30 pm

      you legend, hope the day brought many riches for announcing yourself as 1st on dttalk…wanker!!!

  2. thedtjap

    June 9, 2011 at 8:29 am

    I’ll be making an upgrade in the next few weeks.
    At the moment I’m thinking goodes, Sylvia, didak or fyfe.
    I’m going for league win so I can’t go Stevie j as geelong have a bye in the finals and I already have these forwards
    Buddy, pav, chappy, zaharakis, knights, higgins, darling
    What do you guys think?

    • imofm

      June 9, 2011 at 8:41 am

      I really like Fyfe with his DPP status at a reasonable price…gives good options when it comes to the finals.

      • UmpiresRFu_ked!!

        June 9, 2011 at 9:15 am

        I love the avitar but surely his shoulder is stuffed he dragged it terribly in the second half of the hawks clash cant see him lasting much longer without a good couple of weeks rest and thats abest case scenario

        • thedtjap

          June 9, 2011 at 9:10 pm

          Yeah I was watching the hawks dockers game too and fyfe pulled out of contests so won’t consider him.

  3. imofm

    June 9, 2011 at 8:38 am

    I will be more than happy if Chapman averages 111 in the second half of the season! (and, likewise for Nick R if he averages 103)

    • TeeTee

      June 9, 2011 at 9:06 am

      I think all Chappy owners would be happy to see him return to his DT form of the last few years. It might elevate him to the ‘Bradburys’ list in 2012!

  4. Scrumdidlyumptious

    June 9, 2011 at 8:47 am

    Well considering Sylvia is going to be $320-$330k in a week or two, its fair to say he’s a strong upgrade target!

  5. SlightHawk

    June 9, 2011 at 8:50 am

    Good stuff Dusty. Interesting to note that both didak and rioli come home strong. However, didak would need to put on a black caviar performance to get his second half average back up to 107

  6. jb

    June 9, 2011 at 8:58 am

    If you were lucky enough not to have Sylvia you have to pick him up in 2 weeks for a steal.. Same goes for swanny I envy you lucky bastards.. Fingers crossed pendles or shaw, do a minor injury and scores a sub 20 cos that’s who I’m picking up after their bye..

    • briby

      June 9, 2011 at 9:12 am

      With yah there JB, if i don’t run out of trades before then.

    • d-man

      June 9, 2011 at 10:06 am

      i too am hoping for a ridiculous price drop

    • Scrumdidlyumptious

      June 9, 2011 at 10:11 am

      Same boat exactly, Sylvia Shaw and Pendles are in my sight. If I don’t run out of trades.
      As much of a disappointment is it that Swans lost all that money, he’s soldiered on till now. so gotta love the bloke.

  7. Shersto

    June 9, 2011 at 9:15 am

    What about Leon Davis?

    • imofm

      June 9, 2011 at 9:21 am

      love/hate him like Krak

  8. Mulgrave Ligers

    June 9, 2011 at 9:16 am

    When picking Goodes at the start of the year, one of the fist things I that came to mind was he finishes a season strong. Avg 95 with 5×100 scores out of 11 games. Hoping he will avg 105+ from now on.

    • Mulgrave Ligers

      June 9, 2011 at 9:17 am

      one of the first things that came to mind *

      • Magpie28

        June 9, 2011 at 12:12 pm

        Read twice, post once

  9. SunnyGazza#9

    June 9, 2011 at 9:21 am

    Hmmmm… I kept Green, and now its paying off… lets see how he goes against the best:)

  10. SunnyGazza#9

    June 9, 2011 at 9:23 am

    I thought teams would be released Today… NOW!!! I need to now if Franklin or Chapman is playing or I will have to play a 0!!!

    • Ezmae

      June 9, 2011 at 9:28 am

      Me too Gazza. Im waiting to see what happens with Buddy (fingers crossed). Chappy is a sure thing by the looks of it though. The cream puff just needed a rest!

    • Magpie28

      June 9, 2011 at 12:13 pm

      WTF? You get two trades a week to help you avoid donuts…

      • Ezmae

        June 11, 2011 at 12:39 pm

        Obviously I’m going for a league win. I wasn’t playing anyone decent last week so copped the donut with Buddy. Im playing my brother this week, so pride is on the line!

    • RedNBlackAttack

      June 9, 2011 at 8:32 pm

      5pm thursdays

  11. benji

    June 9, 2011 at 9:27 am

    thoughts on lecras? might be a good unique, great next 3 adealaide port and carlton

    • Albert Lloyd

      June 9, 2011 at 11:28 am

      shhhhhhhhhh

      • Barony

        June 9, 2011 at 2:35 pm

        Ha AL,

        I posted my team before R1 and I had LeCras in there, and I got a “Lecras”? in a post from you.

        My return post was Lecras is spending more time in the midfield this year and is going to be a Premo.

        I still didn’t start with him, and I can’t fit him in he, looks propy in the groin still.

  12. SunnyGazza#9

    June 9, 2011 at 9:34 am

    Well well well!!! This is a stat for you… last year Chapman got 1/5 Dreamteam points from Gablett!!!!!!
    He’s not in a form slump, this is him usaully without Gablett!

    • Albert Lloyd

      June 9, 2011 at 11:28 am

      o.0

  13. james_10

    June 9, 2011 at 10:06 am

    I guess that it’s good i’m picking up Goodes this week!

    • Phil Ken Sebben

      June 9, 2011 at 12:24 pm

      There’s an article on Goodes in todays Herald Sun (pg86).
      It basically states that Sydney has decided his midfield days are over and that he will be playing forward from here on…
      This worries me since Goodes traditionally STARTS the season as a forward/mid and then switches to a mostly midfield role (increasing his numbers substantially) about halfway thru the season.
      If he’s ‘doing it in reverse’ this year, I cant see his numbers going up at all…
      I have Goodes, and now wish I had Sylvia instead!

      • Phil Ken Sebben

        June 9, 2011 at 12:26 pm

        Quote – Adam Goodes: “I’m seeing myself as a forward and not as a midfielder.”

        :(

  14. Big Feller

    June 9, 2011 at 10:45 am

    Dusty – just want to say thanks for the great series of articles you’ve put up this week. It’s made some decisions a lot clearer in my head.

    I’ve ridden the Goddard, Swan & Chappy train from peak price down to rock bottom! It’s time to reverse the trend!

    • Magpie28

      June 9, 2011 at 12:15 pm

      Here here! Now if only we could track down Fantasy Freako…

  15. THESKULL

    June 9, 2011 at 11:07 am

    What are peoples oppinions on Mark Lecras. Old Lecca is playing more in the midfield and although its kind of a sideways trade I have to get rid of Mitch Duncan he is a crab.

    Any thoughts I have a fair bit of cash for upgrades etc?

    • smallmen

      June 9, 2011 at 11:30 am

      Im with you Skullman.

      Le Cras has looked very up and about especially the last few games at home.

      Last year he couldnt tackle at all but has made that a strong part of his game this year.

      And we all know he can kick a bag.

      If he stays in the mids watch out !!!

    • Albert Lloyd

      June 9, 2011 at 11:30 am

      I said shhhhhh

      • Phil Ken Sebben

        June 9, 2011 at 12:43 pm

        Tell me of this handsome young Frenchmans new role – as I have not seen the Eagles play for a month now.. Would he be a worthy addition to my FWD line ahead of some other ‘premiums’?

        please answer me

        • Albert Lloyd

          June 9, 2011 at 1:30 pm

          Well, he’s playing a shit load more in the midfield now which is a role the Eagles have had earmarked for him for a while coz he’s such a gunny gun gun. With the tall fowards all in sparkling form and Nicoski crumbing pretty well, it looks like he might stay there for a while.

          An educated risk if you will.

          • Phil Ken Sebben

            June 9, 2011 at 2:24 pm

            Thank you squire.

            I like educated risks

            Phillip Kenneth Sebben

    • Shaun Dawgs

      June 9, 2011 at 12:20 pm

      Yeah I would get in Lecca as the Eagles goal is to have him playing basically 80/20 midfield/fwd time Worsfold as said this in the past, so yeah get onnn

  16. james_10

    June 9, 2011 at 11:56 am

    Lol, I was on Herald Sun website watching some AFL chat thing and a bloke asked “I have Lenny Hayes sitting on my bench, is there any chance of him coming back soon or should I trade him”

    • Albert Lloyd

      June 9, 2011 at 12:08 pm

      Must have been Dr Dream Team.

      • Magpie28

        June 9, 2011 at 12:16 pm

        Hehe… love it!

      • Phil Ken Sebben

        June 9, 2011 at 12:55 pm

        I just cannot get over HOW SH!T that douche Dr Dreamteam is at Dreamteam!
        The AFL should pay the winner of the previous years DT 50k to do weekly segment, do Dr Dremteam type blogs etc etc…A car + 50K + national DT fame would be awesome! The regular DT punters would get MUCH better DT advice too!

        • SneakyCasserole

          June 9, 2011 at 12:58 pm

          I’d be keen to give that a go…. Sounds like a bloody good job to me. At least I’d get paid for my addiction that way.

        • Albert Lloyd

          June 9, 2011 at 1:28 pm

          Anyone here (excluding TKOL of course) would be way more qualified to talk DT than Dr Douchey.

  17. The Butcher

    The Butcher

    June 9, 2011 at 12:17 pm

    Hi Guys, im thinking about slotting LeCras into the forward linr now that he is spending more time in the midfield, averaging 108 over the past 3 and 94 over the past 5. Thinking a swap for McKer-nana.
    Whats your thoughts?

  18. Western

    June 9, 2011 at 12:20 pm

    Anyone from adelaide got any thoughts on callinan’s prospects as a downgrade target for the 2nd half of the year ?

    • THESKULL

      June 9, 2011 at 12:22 pm

      Back after time in the SA league my understanding is 2 weeks

      • Western

        June 9, 2011 at 12:27 pm

        Cheers

  19. Milk_Lizard

    June 9, 2011 at 1:06 pm

    I can’t afford to get Sylvia due to the multibye, unless I trade Knights to him but I’d like him to be my 8th fwd. I’d have Fyfe, Mzungu, Knights plus Syliva out that week which would mean lynch and Prestia on my field.. No thank you, I’ll be getting Goodes

  20. wallcob

    June 9, 2011 at 1:30 pm

    current forward line is

    Chapman, Riewoldt, Harvey, Goodes, SJ, Buddy, Darling EMG: mzungu, richardson, howe

    i have 18k in the kitty and could hence afford to straight swap darling for didak. would it be too risky a move? i am thinking mzungu has pretty strong JS and could take over as the 8th forward role. otherwise i would have to downgrade elsewhere and upgrade richardson (in order to keep darling as 8th forward). but trades is obviously an issue and a straight swap is very tempting!

  21. The Butcher

    The Butcher

    June 9, 2011 at 1:52 pm

    Vardy,,Bailey or Browne..Who will get more opportunity?

    • Phil Ken Sebben

      June 9, 2011 at 2:32 pm

      Vardy. He will get better week by week from here on…

      • The Butcher

        The Butcher

        June 9, 2011 at 3:34 pm

        Thanks

        • Phil Ken Sebben

          June 9, 2011 at 4:08 pm

          Sweet mate. I’m a Cats man so I watch him closely…

  22. npercey97

    June 9, 2011 at 1:54 pm

    I’m trading sandi to vardy this week
    That way i can finish my team in about 3-4 weeks.
    Then i’ll trade smith back to sandi after freos bye and have petrie as cover sitting in the forward line.

  23. Ezmae

    June 11, 2011 at 12:41 pm

    Anyone know what’s going on with Isaac Smith (HAW) ?

    • JohnnyMacIntyre

      June 11, 2011 at 1:20 pm

      Isaac Smith has been named on a half forward flank for Box Hill this weekend

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