Housn v The House: Round 5
Last week was a complete disaster for DT betting (it was for me, anyway!), but it did remind me of one of the golden rules – never EVER bet on a ruckman no matter how much you like Cox. See Housn’s best bets of the round. (sorry this didn’t go up before the first game).
Apologies that this didn’t go up before last night’s game… but we saved you some coin with the second multi! – DT TALK.
Last week was a complete disaster for DT betting (it was for me, anyway!), but it did remind me of one of the golden rules – never EVER bet on a ruckman no matter how much you like Cox. His very ordinary score was well below expectation, while Petrie cost us what would have otherwise been a very nice multi. In non-ruck failures, Goodes couldn’t even scale a junk-induced 88 from Enright and Thomas somehow outscored Pendles by a measly two points, ruining the two bets that I was most confident with going into last Friday night.
But, I digress. All in all, we laid out $80 and got sweet FA back in return. This week, we’ll lay another $60 on the line and see if we can at least get back over the waterline again.
As with last week, I’ll look at two small multi’s for $10 each; one ‘safe’ and one with a little more risk.
Ablett ($2.50) to beat Rischitelli and Boak
Swan ($1.70) to beat Thomas and Didak
Bartel ($2.65) to beat Chapman and Mitchell
Total odds: $11.26
Three of the biggest DT names right there! Ablett is on the up and will no doubt be keen to prove the media wrong about his workrate. Not like he’s playing Collingwood, either. Swan is a given and Bartel has averaged 122 in his last three against the Hawks. Get on!
Rockliff ($2.80) to beat Goddard and Black
Harvey ($2.70) to beat Jackson and Deledio
Cotchin ($2.70) to beat Wells and Rawlings
Stanton ($3.00) to beat Pendlebury and Watson
Total odds: $61.23
Rockliff is a serious gun in the making while Goddard is both struggling for form and has a poor history against the Lions. Harvey usually stars against the tigers and neither of his opponents have a great record against North. Cotchin is starting to prove his potential and Stanton has scored back to back 139’s in Anzac Day matches while Watson has scored consecutive 80’s. If you’re reading this after the Lions v Saints game, just get on with Rocky. Your odds will be about $22 or so.
On lastly, the back of the above research – and at time of writing, no “best of the best” or specials available – I’ll drop another $20 on both Ablett ($3.00) and Bartel ($4.00) to beat their fields.
So! Total outlay this week: $60
Total potential return: $865
And as a final thought; I had a donut for breakfast this morning. Hopefully not a sign of things to come.